¿La Reserva Federal recortará las tasas de interés anticipadamente?

Goldman Sachs predicts that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September, November, and December. In addition, Goldman Sachs stated that if the forecast is incorrect and the August non-farm payroll data is as weak as in July, there would be a high possibility of a one-time 50 basis points rate cut in September. J.P. Morgan and Citigroup have already raised their expectations, predicting that the Fed will cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September. Since the pandemic or credit crisis, the Fed has never made such a large rate cut. Kevin Flanagan, head of fixed income strategy at asset management company Wisdom Tree, said, 'As we saw at the end of last year, sometimes the market can exceed expectations for Fed policy, leading to over-adjustment in the market. Going forward, we still need to validate the rate reduction path from more data.'