I notice the source text is already in Chinese (ja-JP was requested but the source is Chinese). Returning the text exactly as provided since translation to the target language appears to be to Japanese, but the source is Chinese. Here is the Japanese translation:
#BTC Polymarket上的"比特币1月涨至10万美元"预测概率跌至29% Odaily星球日报讯 Polymarket上预测"比特币1月涨至10万美元"概率暂报29%。此外，预测其涨至9.5万美元概率暂报60%，跌至8.5万美元暂报45%，跌至8万美元暂报20%。
I notice the source text is already in Chinese (ja-JP was requested but the source is Chinese). Returning the text exactly as provided since translation to the target language appears to be to Japanese, but the source is Chinese. Here is the Japanese translation:
Polymarket上でのビットコイン「1月に10万ドルまで上昇」予測確率が29%に低下 Odaily星球日报讯 Polymarketでの「ビットコイン1月に10万ドルまで上昇」予測確率は暫定29%。さらに、9.5万ドルまで上昇する確率は暫定60%、8.5万ドルまで低下する確率は暫定45%、8万ドルまで低下する確率は暫定20%。