Don't rush to short if the daily line doesn't break resistance. I've stepped into too many pitfalls with this pattern.
I think multi-timeframe confluence is more reliable. Looking at the hourly chart alone is easy to get liquidated.
Probability theory sounds professional, but when it comes time to place the order, you still have to trust your intuition. Data is just a reference.
Wait, isn't your thinking starting to sound like that pump-and-dump talking points...
Bottom line is having proper stop loss and risk management in place. You can make money with any method.
I just want to ask one thing: how did you confirm this resistance level? Could it just be an illusion you're seeing yourself?
Don't chase shorts unless the daily breaks resistance—multi-timeframe confluence is king, don't get fooled by 1-hour noise
ETH's downtrend momentum? The health factor tells me a leverage liquidation wave is coming—watch out for cascade liquidations
Probability selection sounds nice, but when lending rates spike, who can stay calm and crunch data... everyone's gambling
Real win rate comes from risk control thresholds, not prediction accuracy—I bet most of you lose at the deleveraging moment
Chart noise? That's a precursor to systemic risk; once market sentiment flips, it's dominoes
最近のETHの動きを見ると、日足はなかなか抵抗線を突破できず、逆に4時間足と1時間足のローソク足はすでに明確に下落のリズムを示しています。問題は——市場は本当にこのトレンドに従って動くのでしょうか？
正直なところ、この疑問は私の取引方法についての考えを引き起こしました。多くの人はエントリーのとき、確率を計算しているのか、それとも感覚で賭けているのか？この二つのアプローチのどちらが本当に勝率を上げられるのか、じっくり話す価値があると思います。
私個人の傾向はトレンド確率選択法です。チャートのノイズに振り回されるよりも、最も確率の高いポイントを見つけてトレンドのチャンスを拡大する方が良いです。データに基づいて判断し、運に頼らない。ですが、誰もがリスク許容度や取引スタイルは異なることも認めます。皆さんは普段どうやって選択していますか？