Track real-time crypto market hotspots and seize the best trading opportunities. Today is Sunday, January 11, 2026. I'm Wang Yi Bo! Good morning, coin friends ☀ Iron fans check in 👍 Like and get rich 🍗🍗🌹🌹
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Saturday's market movement completely aligned with my expectations. As US stocks went on holiday, the market's liquidity continued to weaken, causing coin prices to enter narrow-range consolidation. The Bollinger Bands continued to narrow, and the recovery strength on the chart continued to weaken. In the absence of near-term catalysts, coin prices will continue to consolidate in a narrow range. Current operations should mainly focus on observation and waiting for opportunities, with limited volatility space and few short-term layout opportunities. Let's wait patiently for the market to provide new directional choices. Following Yi Bo will continue tracking core signals such as Federal Reserve policy implementation, institutional fund flows, and on-chain data changes, with real-time updates to layout strategies and position dynamics.
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The current market's core constraint is liquidity. Since the start of 2026, the crypto space has experienced weak volatility with deadlocked long/short positions. Bitcoin has declined over 30% from October's high of 126,000 USD, recently sawing between 88,000-93,000 USD. Last week, BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF saw single-day inflows of 287.4 million USD (recent three-month peak), driving US spot Bitcoin ETF single-day inflows of 471.3 million USD, but capital recovery lacks sustainability, with institutions maintaining cautious positioning. Since year-end, institutional capital outflows combined with macro policy uncertainty have further suppressed market risk appetite. On the macro front, Federal Reserve policy remains the core influencing factor. Market expectations for 2026 rate cuts show significant divergence: the Trump administration expects an easing pace faster than Powell's original plan of "one rate cut in 2026," with expectations divergence continuing to disturb the market. It's worth noting that during the Fed's three rate cuts from September-December 2025, Bitcoin fell cumulatively 24%, temporarily invalidating the traditional "rate cut benefits risk assets" logic. We need to focus on policy implementation and expectation alignment going forward.
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Additionally, recent geopolitical events warrant attention. The Trump administration's arrest of Venezuelan President Maduro didn't trigger significant crypto market volatility; instead, it drove Bitcoin's four consecutive days of gains, highlighting how some funds view cryptocurrencies as "decentralized value storage tools." However, rumors of "Venezuela's covert 60 billion USD cryptocurrency reserve" warrant caution. If substantive developments emerge, there could be short-term impacts. For now, this appears to be only short-term sentiment disruption without changing the consolidation pattern. On operation strategy, the core principle remains "observation and waiting, staying patient for the right moment." Current volatility space is narrow, short-term risk/reward is low, and blindly entering positions risks "getting caught in both long and short squeeze." Future market breakout hinges on three core signals: First, Federal Reserve rate cut timing and magnitude, which directly determines liquidity easing pace; Second, institutional fund flow continuity, especially Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF flows, which represent core institutional sentiment; Third, on-chain data marginal improvements, including whale holdings, exchange reserves, funding rates, etc., which can pre-reflect sentiment shifts.
Track real-time crypto market hotspots and seize the best trading opportunities. Today is Sunday, January 11, 2026. I'm Wang Yi Bo! Good morning, coin friends ☀ Iron fans check in 👍 Like and get rich 🍗🍗🌹🌹
==================================
💎
💎
==================================
Saturday's market movement completely aligned with my expectations. As US stocks went on holiday, the market's liquidity continued to weaken, causing coin prices to enter narrow-range consolidation. The Bollinger Bands continued to narrow, and the recovery strength on the chart continued to weaken. In the absence of near-term catalysts, coin prices will continue to consolidate in a narrow range. Current operations should mainly focus on observation and waiting for opportunities, with limited volatility space and few short-term layout opportunities. Let's wait patiently for the market to provide new directional choices. Following Yi Bo will continue tracking core signals such as Federal Reserve policy implementation, institutional fund flows, and on-chain data changes, with real-time updates to layout strategies and position dynamics.
==================================
💎
💎
==================================
The current market's core constraint is liquidity. Since the start of 2026, the crypto space has experienced weak volatility with deadlocked long/short positions. Bitcoin has declined over 30% from October's high of 126,000 USD, recently sawing between 88,000-93,000 USD. Last week, BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF saw single-day inflows of 287.4 million USD (recent three-month peak), driving US spot Bitcoin ETF single-day inflows of 471.3 million USD, but capital recovery lacks sustainability, with institutions maintaining cautious positioning. Since year-end, institutional capital outflows combined with macro policy uncertainty have further suppressed market risk appetite. On the macro front, Federal Reserve policy remains the core influencing factor. Market expectations for 2026 rate cuts show significant divergence: the Trump administration expects an easing pace faster than Powell's original plan of "one rate cut in 2026," with expectations divergence continuing to disturb the market. It's worth noting that during the Fed's three rate cuts from September-December 2025, Bitcoin fell cumulatively 24%, temporarily invalidating the traditional "rate cut benefits risk assets" logic. We need to focus on policy implementation and expectation alignment going forward.
==================================
💎
💎
==================================
Additionally, recent geopolitical events warrant attention. The Trump administration's arrest of Venezuelan President Maduro didn't trigger significant crypto market volatility; instead, it drove Bitcoin's four consecutive days of gains, highlighting how some funds view cryptocurrencies as "decentralized value storage tools." However, rumors of "Venezuela's covert 60 billion USD cryptocurrency reserve" warrant caution. If substantive developments emerge, there could be short-term impacts. For now, this appears to be only short-term sentiment disruption without changing the consolidation pattern. On operation strategy, the core principle remains "observation and waiting, staying patient for the right moment." Current volatility space is narrow, short-term risk/reward is low, and blindly entering positions risks "getting caught in both long and short squeeze." Future market breakout hinges on three core signals: First, Federal Reserve rate cut timing and magnitude, which directly determines liquidity easing pace; Second, institutional fund flow continuity, especially Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF flows, which represent core institutional sentiment; Third, on-chain data marginal improvements, including whale holdings, exchange reserves, funding rates, etc., which can pre-reflect sentiment shifts.