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#HasTheMarketBottomed? I have been thinking about this question in a very simple way lately, because “bottom” is not a single candle, it is usually a process. In most cycles the market stops falling first, then it goes quiet, and only after that it starts rewarding patience again. So when I look at the current pullback, I do not try to guess one perfect low. Instead, I ask three practical questions. Did the market stop making lower lows on higher timeframes. Are we seeing demand show up at obvious zones. And are the strongest coins starting to outperform the weak ones again. If two of these are true, I treat it as a likely bottoming phase. If all three are true, I treat it as a confirmed bottom.
From my perspective, we are likely inside a bottoming phase rather than a confirmed bottom. A bottom is rarely one candle or one perfect entry. It is usually a process where price stops making lower lows, demand quietly absorbs supply, and stronger assets begin to hold levels that weaker ones cannot. Right now, some of those signs are appearing, but not all of them are locked in yet. Therefore I am staying involved, but carefully.
My trading approach in this environment is deliberately simple. I split my strategy into two clear paths so emotions do not take control. The first path is slow accumulation. This means only buying near strong support zones on higher timeframes and keeping position sizes smaller than usual. The second path is confirmation trading, where I only add risk after the market proves strength by breaking above key resistance and holding it on a retest. This way I do not need to predict the bottom. I just respond to what the market shows.
Risk management matters more than entries right now. I do not average down blindly. I only add near predefined support levels. I keep invalidation points clear and unemotional. If a level fails and does not reclaim quickly, I step aside. In bottoming markets, protecting capital is more important than chasing every bounce.
Here are the assets I am watching most closely for this phase, keeping both structure and behavior in mind.
#Bitcoin remains the main guide. If Bitcoin continues to defend its prior weekly support and starts forming higher lows on the daily timeframe, that tells me risk appetite is stabilizing. My entries are either near strong weekly support with tight invalidation or after a breakout and successful retest of daily resistance. First targets are nearby daily resistance zones, followed by higher timeframe supply levels. Stops sit below the most recent higher low or below weekly support, depending on entry type.
#Ethereum is important because it often confirms whether a move is healthy or not. When Ethereum begins to outperform Bitcoin during rebounds, it usually signals broader confidence returning. I only engage if Ethereum holds its daily structure or reclaims a major resistance and retests it cleanly. I take partial profits into strength and keep stops below the retest zone.
#Solana is a leadership asset in strong markets, but it is also unforgiving when sentiment turns. I do not treat it as a bottom catch. I wait for a clear break above resistance and a calm retest. If price remains inside a noisy range, I stay patient. Targets are previous local highs and known supply zones, while stops sit just below the retest level.
#Chainlink is one of my preferred names in uncertain conditions because it often builds quietly before moving decisively. I look for stable bases and clean reclaims of resistance. Entries are either on the first pullback after reclaim or on confirmed range breaks. I scale out at prior swing highs and protect the trade if structure weakens.
Injective is higher risk but also higher reward once the market turns. I only participate if structure is respected. Either I buy deep support with a clear invalidation or I wait for consolidation, then trade the breakout and retest. Targets are prior range highs first, followed by expansion zones if momentum builds.
The most important thing I keep reminding myself is this. Even if the market is bottoming, there will still be fake rallies and sharp pullbacks. That does not mean the thesis is wrong. It means the process is not finished. This is why I stay flexible, keep size controlled, and let confirmation guide aggression.
My take is simple. The market may not have fully bottomed yet, but it is no longer behaving like it wants to collapse. That alone changes how I trade. I am involved, but disciplined. Curious, but not reckless. If confirmation comes, I scale up. If it does not, I protect capital and wait. In the long run, that mindset matters far more than calling the exact bottom.
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