Recently, global stock markets have been quite volatile. U.S. stocks plunged at one point, followed by the Asia-Pacific markets also jumping into a dive. But interestingly—A-shares have stubbornly charted their own course.



First, let's talk about the situation in the U.S. markets. On Wednesday, the opening was grim. The Dow Jones fell 0.47%, the S&P 500 dropped 1.16%, and the Nasdaq was hit even harder, tumbling 1.81%. The technology sector bore the brunt, especially AI and chips, which became the hardest-hit areas. Tesla declined 4.62%, Nvidia fell 3.81%, and Broadcom dropped 4.48%—this stock has already fallen over 19% since December. Google and Micron also followed suit, with declines around 3%. The previously hot tech sectors are now seeing significant capital withdrawal, with selling pressure clearly mounting.

The Asia-Pacific region couldn't hold up either. The Nikkei 225 and Korea Composite Index opened sharply lower and haven't recovered since. By midday, they had fallen 1.3% and 1.8%, respectively, becoming the "biggest decliners" in the Asia-Pacific markets. Risk aversion sentiment is rising rapidly, as everyone searches for safe assets.

But at this point, something interesting happened—Chinese concept stocks and Hong Kong stocks showed resilience far beyond expectations. That night, the Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index of Chinese stocks only fell 0.73%, much less than the Nasdaq Composite. The A50 futures in the night session dipped slightly by 0.14%, with little movement. Although Hong Kong stocks were generally weak today, their resilience was notable: the Hang Seng Index once dropped 0.81%, then quickly turned positive, ending the midday session down only 0.4%. The only sector dragged down more significantly was the Hang Seng Tech Index, which fell about 1.2% at midday, but overall, the impact was manageable.

The most eye-catching development was the Shanghai Composite Index. It broke the recent pattern of following Asia-Pacific trends, closing midday up 0.16% at 3,876 points. Amid a global downturn, this contrarian strength indicates that internal support within the A-shares market is strengthening, and market independence is gradually increasing. Although there have been previous instances of following the trend downward (such as on November 21), this time is different.

Within the A-shares, there is clear differentiation. The previously hot optical module sector led the decline today, dragging down the communication equipment sector as well. The ChiNext Index fell 1.81% at midday, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the STAR Market 50 Index declined 0.85% and 0.92%, respectively. But this doesn’t mean there are no more profit opportunities—in fact, quite the opposite. In the morning, 3,607 stocks in the two markets rose, while only 1,672 declined. Only 115 stocks fell more than 3%. This shows that structural profit opportunities still exist, as long as you find the right sectors.

From a technical and market rhythm perspective, we are still in a consolidation phase. The Shanghai Index below 3,950 points is mainly building a weak base. Once it breaks above 3,950, a breakout rally could be on the horizon. The market is likely to remain range-bound in December, but policy expectations and liquidity will support resilience. The spring rally has already begun to warm up; if early, it could start by the end of December, or if later, after the intensive policy period in January, it will accelerate. With multiple funds resonating, the probability of a year-end rally materializing is quite high.

In short, this oscillation period is a good opportunity for strategic positioning. Focus on sectors supported by policies, such as new productive forces and domestic consumption, to seize structural opportunities. A spring rally is highly anticipated.
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ReverseTradingGuruvip
· 2025-12-21 05:22
The global big dump, yet A-shares are rising; this is independence, finally not following the trend. Wait, is this really the bottom? It feels like there’s still another wash to go. 3950 points is the key; if it breaks, it's To da moon, if not, just continue to lie flat. The optical module leading the fall today is quite interesting; rotation has arrived. The direction of new productivity must be followed closely; there might be opportunities before the Spring Festival.
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LiquiditySurfervip
· 2025-12-18 05:52
The recent bold stance of the A-shares is quite interesting, it feels like they've found the rhythm in market-making principles. --- Honestly, the big sell-off in US tech stocks looks like liquidity has been drained, and the capital efficiency algorithms have instantly reversed. --- The 3950 point level must hold, or the arbitrage space will disappear. --- The global market is all red, but A-shares can still turn green—either there's a hidden undercurrent or no one is paying attention at all. --- Structural opportunities? Instead of focusing on those hot sectors, it's better to watch where the funds are truly flowing. --- The Hong Kong stocks' strong resilience indicates that big players are accumulating at the bottom. --- Regarding new quality productivity, whether it can outperform LP returns is still uncertain.
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CountdownToBrokevip
· 2025-12-18 05:47
Global crash, A-shares can still resist, this resilience is really something The independence of A-shares is indeed good news, but the decline in optical modules is a bit annoying 3950 points is the key, breaking through will launch the spring market I've heard too many times about structural opportunities, the key is to find the right direction The counter-trend rise only increased by 0.16%, it doesn't seem to mean much New quality productivity direction? Don't fool around, focus on fundamentals Is the probability of year-end rally high? Can this sense of certainty turn into real gains? The strategy of oscillating and shaking out during consolidation is indeed a routine, but too many people get shaken out Hong Kong stocks resisted declines better than expected, this time it finally looks interesting
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YieldChaservip
· 2025-12-18 05:46
The way A-shares are moving independently this time is quite interesting; it seems it's not just following the trend. Breaking or not breaking the 3950 point level will directly determine the rhythm moving forward. The year-end market depends on this key point. It doesn't fall when the global markets decline, which indeed indicates that the bottom support is strengthening. That's rare. Today, optical modules were hammered down; let's turn our attention to the new productive forces. There are still structural opportunities; the key is to find the right track and avoid chasing high just because others are doing it. The spring market next year is warming up; it's not too late to get on board now.
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