Everyone in the market is worried about the sharp decline caused by Japan's interest rate hike. But this seemingly "rational" consensus often hides the biggest trap.

The规律 of history is simple: when everyone bets on the same side, the result is often unexpected. The negative impact of Japan's rate hike has long been digested by the market. Just look at the current chart—prices are fluctuating, but trading volume is shrinking. What does this mean? The institutions that truly hold the chips have no intention of selling; they are just waiting for small retail investors to panic and trample each other.

More critical data is on-chain. The reserves of Bitcoin and Ethereum on exchanges have fallen to multi-year lows. The "liquid coins" that could be used to dump are basically swept clean by institutions. From another perspective: on one side, the available coins to sell are decreasing; on the other side, Wall Street is stepping in aggressively (U.S. banks have announced direct recommendations for crypto ETFs by 2026). Under this scenario, the pattern of "more money than coins" is forming.

So, the real story might completely reverse: rate hike implementation → negative impact materializes → market lightens up. A symbolic dip could turn into a bear trap, and at the same time, be the starting point for the next round of market rally.

What to do at this stage? The approach is very clear:

First, hold onto mainstream spot coins. Any panic dip is an opportunity to gradually accumulate BTC, ETH, BNB.

Second, use part of your position to pre-embed in strong ecosystems like Ethereum, tracking the narratives with the strongest community consensus.

While most people are still trembling over "known bad news," smart money is already positioning for the "upcoming surge."