2025-12-18 11:26:41

Bitcoin just hit a record high in October, and the entire market is buzzing with discussions of "reaching 200,000 this year."

In the blink of an eye, more than two months have passed, and the situation has changed—

BTC has fallen from its peak to over 86,000, a decline of more than 31%; ETH hasn't fared much better, dropping from over 3400 to 2800, also down more than 30%. Long-term holders are starting to sell off in large quantities, marking the most aggressive exit wave in over five years.

However, institutional voices are divided into two camps: Grayscale is shouting "BTC will hit new highs again in 2026," while Wall Street is more pessimistic, saying "2025 might end quite flat."

What will happen next? There are three possible scenarios, but one has the highest probability. If you want to see clearly, save this for reference, and just ignore the haters.

BTC1.43%

ETH2.12%

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TokenomicsDetective

· 10h ago

Oh no, should I buy the dip again or just keep lying flat? --- I don't believe the story about grayscale; what Wall Street says is useless. --- A 31% drop is really fierce, but it's not a big deal compared to the previous halving. --- What does it mean when long-term holders are fleeing? Retail investors should resist even more. --- The 200,000 dream hasn't been realized and has been shattered back to the original form. --- Both sides of the institutions are talking nonsense; only on-chain data is truly reliable. --- Let's wait and see if there's a rebound by the end of the year; I'm a bit anxious about entering now. --- This wave of selling is actually a good opportunity for a shakeout. --- If I had to choose, I bet on new highs in 2026, but only if I survive until then.

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BlockchainBard

· 12-18 17:29

A 31% drop isn't a big deal; just wait and see who will be crying next year.

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ShitcoinConnoisseur

· 12-18 11:56

Starting to tell stories again, a 31% drop is nothing; I've seen worse five years ago. Grayscale is going against Wall Street, showing that no one has confidence. What to hold? Let's wait until it drops to 50,000 before talking.

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OnchainDetectiveBing

· 12-18 11:55

Oh no, another round of "Shanzhai Coin Prophet" is about to appear Back to the plateau again, I've heard Gray's rhetoric so many times A 31% drop and they start cutting losses, just for the sake of "immediate pleasure" Wait, is Wall Street really going to turn bearish? This logic seems a bit off Long-term holders are exiting in large numbers, this thing is starting to look more and more like a prelude to scalp the leeks The key still depends on how institutions are positioning themselves; all this talk is just smoke and mirrors A 31% decline, I want to see how these people will speak three months from now Those still shouting for 200,000 probably have calmed down now, typical chasing highs and getting caught This drop might be either a shakeout or a real warning Ah, so annoying, starting the guessing game again Is institutional polarization a good thing or a bad thing? I’d love to hear some new perspectives

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