2026-01-04 18:20:14

In 2026, just at the start of the year, the global financial markets have already entered a series of critical moments. This week, non-farm payroll data, CPI reports, and geopolitical developments are all happening simultaneously—who will dominate the market rhythm?

The schedule has been laid out. From Monday to Wednesday, China and the US will release manufacturing PMI figures first, followed by the US ADP data to boost market sentiment. It’s not just economic data that’s moving; international trade is also lively—during South Korea’s high-level visit to China, tech giants like Samsung and SK are also participating, and stories of trade cooperation continue.

The most crucial point falls on Friday. China’s CPI and PPI data will be released on the same day as the US non-farm payroll report, directly influencing the Federal Reserve’s outlook on interest rate cuts. For the crypto market, this macroeconomic uncertainty often increases demand for safe-haven assets. Capital tends to flow into assets with clear consensus and solid fundamentals, rather than risking it on high-risk targets.

The question now is: will the non-farm payroll data become a turning point for the Fed to change its stance on rate cuts? Market participants have different views. Some believe strong employment data will delay rate cuts, while others think signals of economic weakness will accelerate the easing process. Ultimately, the direction of the crypto market will depend on how these data points unfold.

What are your thoughts on this week’s market? Share your ideas in the comments.

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wrekt_but_learning

· 19h ago

What kind of market movement can we expect from Friday's data? Anyway, I'm ready to be hit. Someone always says the fundamentals are solid, but when a black swan comes, it's still a crash. Non-farm payrolls are indeed the king of disruptions; they’ve never been reassuring over the years. Honestly, whether interest rates go up or down, I’m numb—just watch where the big funds pour their money. PMI takes the lead, but no one really pays attention, right? Everyone's waiting for that shot on Friday. The Federal Reserve is playing Tai Chi here; we might as well join in the fun. Is the risk aversion demand coming? That means the fear index is about to soar again. Trade and economic cooperation stories—are they real or not? We’ll just see if the coin price rises. Will China’s CPI give the Federal Reserve face? That’s the real suspense. Another "critical moment," every week is critical. I’m just exhausted from being critical.

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PerpetualLonger

· 19h ago

After Friday's non-farm payrolls are released, the Federal Reserve is determined not to cut interest rates. Our long positions are about to break even.

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GasFeeDodger

· 19h ago

Friday might be a bloodbath, when the big weapon of non-farm payroll data is released, everyone will have to kneel. Those betting on delaying interest rate cuts based on strong employment data might be in for a loss this time... PMI data alone is not surprising; the key is to see what the Federal Reserve folks are thinking. Safe-haven assets are still more attractive; the risk this week is too high. Is there any substantial progress in Korea's trade and economic cooperation? Or is it just empty talk again? A reversal in the interest rate cut pace will cause Bitcoin to instantly lose momentum; be prepared. Basically, it's a gamble on whether the Fed will change its tone. I remain bearish on this rebound. This week's market is likely a watershed; either a big rally or a big drop, with no middle ground. CPI and non-farm payroll data coming out simultaneously—are they not just setting traps for retail investors?

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ProbablyNothing

· 19h ago

Friday's data window indeed couldn't hold, the real show is just beginning Can non-farm really determine anything? It feels like it's all been priced in early, and only those fringe news can really move the market After the CPI is released, see if BTC can break new highs—that's the key, everything else is noise Both falling and rising, I'm just here watching Samsung SK's visit to China is actually more interesting than economic data; geopolitical clues are often hidden in the news What does delaying interest rate cuts matter? We're used to it already; the key is whether the Fed's stance softens or not This week is definitely a big fish week; I won't even touch small coins

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