In this round of market行情, market funds have already明显 shifted towards lagging altcoins. Led by Pepe, the leading cryptocurrencies ignited a补涨 enthusiasm, with $PENGU consolidating around 0.012, showing room for补涨—the first关注位 is at 0.013, and if it stabilizes there, there's a chance to push up to 0.015. However, these coins tend to be highly volatile, so it's best to wait for a correction before lightly entering positions—absolutely avoid chasing highs. $SOL and $DOGE are resonating同步, becoming the main driving forces behind this rebound.

On the ETH side, the resistance at 3170 is playing its role as expected, triggering a correction. Those who received early hints have already成功落袋. But the trend isn't over; in the短期, there's a high probability of再次冲击 3180-3200, which could be an opportunity for another high-altitude move.

From a broader perspective, the entire market is currently in a "downtrend continuation" pattern—similar to the rhythm of the 2022 bear market rebound. BTC may still test the previous high of 94,000, and ETH is expected to surge towards around 3400, possibly even experiencing a false breakout to诱多. The真正的转折点 might be in late January; if the interest rate cut expectations are shattered then, market sentiment will quickly reverse, and all gains could be doubled back.

Operationally, it’s advisable to split into two phases: in the短期, you can follow the trend with轻仓多头, but be clear that this is just a rebound, not a new trend. Starting from mid-January, focus on布局空单 at high levels, preparing for the end-of-month interest rate meeting. US economic indicators like non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate will influence the crypto market联动, so continuous关注 is necessary.

Market tops always appear in疯狂, and bottoms are always formed in恐慌. The current choices are:追击趁势 or start setting up风控?