2026-01-07 09:22:53

Regarding the overall market trend, I must be frank: the upside potential is quite limited, and the risk of decline should not be underestimated. There is no such thing as a market that only rises and never falls. After such a long rally, profit-taking is inevitable.

From a technical perspective, the 5-day moving average is supporting around 4030, and the index is now approaching 4100. Even if it breaks through 4100, how far can it go? Moreover, psychological barriers like round numbers are themselves resistance levels, and breaking through them is not easy.

On the downside, if a sharp sell-off occurs, how significant could the decline be? That is the real risk.

Investors all understand one principle—the opportunity always arises from declines. The true profit-making mechanism is to accumulate positions at the bottom, and when the price rises, it’s time to realize profits. I’ve never heard of an opportunity that is created by a rise.

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probably_nothing_anon

· 13h ago

Is the 4100 level really a bit risky? Isn't it better to wait for a dump to buy the dip?

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CoffeeOnChain

· 01-07 09:51

That's right, the 4100 level is indeed hard to break through, but I think your logic is reversed—it's actually better to buy the dip. Staring at the decline every day, it's better to think about how to scoop up good chips at the bottom. This round of rise has lasted quite a while, and I'm also considering whether to take profits first. Can 4030 really hold? I'm a bit worried. Making money is all about doing so during the decline, I totally agree with that. People always want to chase the rally, but they end up getting trapped. I've learned my lesson. Instead of predicting the top, it's better to wait for the dip and then make a move.

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SmartContractPhobia

· 01-07 09:45

Basically, it's just waiting for the moment of a dump; the bottom is where the real money is. This wave of increase is a bit risky; breaking through the 4100 level is indeed difficult, and it feels like profit-taking has already been ready to strike. Instead of chasing the high, it's better to keep some bullets in hand and wait for the price to drop before buying the dip. That's the proper operational logic.

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TheMemefather

· 01-07 09:40

Although that's what they say, when it really comes to crashing, how many people dare to buy the dip... --- It's that same theory again, bottom-filling chips, easy to talk about, but when it really drops, it's all about cutting losses. --- The 4100 level feels like a position that's been overhyped, not much meaning. --- Are buying opportunities always being born? I only see myself getting hammered by opportunities... --- As for profit-taking and fleeing, I guess they already ran at 3000, haha. --- Heard so many times about "bottom-fishing opportunities," but I haven't gained a dime. --- This kind of resistance at round numbers, every time they mention it, but in the end, it’s useless. --- The real profit-making mechanism? Why can't I learn it? Please give me a strategy.

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StableBoi

· 01-07 09:31

Honestly, the 4100 level is just a paper tiger. Whether it breaks through or not, it still needs to be smashed. Wait for the decline; the real opportunity will come. People who watch the rise every day are just waiting to be weeded out.

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PhantomHunter

· 01-07 09:26

That's right, this position is indeed a bit precarious now. 4100 feels like a wall, and breaking through is difficult. Someone should have warned earlier; profit-taking is starting to stir at this point. Wait for the decline; the bottom is the real sniper point. Buying in now is like taking a knife.

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