2026-01-07 10:25:50

On Friday, the non-farm payroll data is coming out, and an epic trade has shaken the market. A major institution sold 200,000 contracts of Federal Reserve funds futures in one go, setting the largest single trade record in CME history — this number is three times the previous record of 84,000 contracts.

The scale of the trade is astonishing. Every basis point fluctuation means a profit or loss of $8 million, sparking widespread speculation about the trader’s intentions. Some believe this is an early move ahead of a shift in rate cut expectations, while others suggest it might be just risk hedging. But considering the timing — right between the non-farm payroll release and the FOMC meeting — it’s clearly no coincidence.

Open interest data may soon reveal some clues. If this trade ends with a profitable close, it means someone precisely timed the market. What chain reaction might this have on the crypto market? It’s still too early to tell, but market volatility on non-farm payroll night could intensify.

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SerumDegen

· 01-10 10:25

bro that's not 3x bigger, that's literally a leverage play waiting to cascade. someone's either genius or about to get absolutely liquidated on nonfarm night lol

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BlockchainFoodie

· 01-09 06:32

yo this 20 trillion dollar futures move is literally like someone dumped the entire supply of a newly minted token in one go... except with way more decimal places and actual institutional backing lmao

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Anon4461

· 01-07 10:55

200,000 contracts? Surely they're betting on a turnaround on Friday.

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LazyDevMiner

· 01-07 10:55

200,000 contracts? Is this guy crazy or does he really know something? *** 8 million per basis point, I’m almost losing my pants and I’m still watching the show. *** Is it true, a new all-time high on CME? Then we better be careful this weekend. *** Doing this around non-farm payrolls, if it were me, I wouldn’t believe it’s a coincidence—there’s definitely insider info. *** Wait, what if I lose money? Do institutions also have to eat dirt? *** Precise timing? Ha, if it were that easy, I’d be financially free long ago. *** The crypto market is about to dance again. Better transfer the money out first on Friday night.

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BackrowObserver

· 01-07 10:54

200,000 contracts? Damn, this guy really dares to play. One basis point equals 8 million USD... I can't count it all. What are the big institutions really betting on this time? It doesn't seem that simple. They are making such a big move on the night before the non-farm payroll report, clearly placing a bet. Hopefully, retail investors won't get caught in the squeeze. Just sit back and watch the show. If they close positions for profit, I should learn this technique. I bet five dollars that this move will influence the direction of BTC. Are institutions really that rich? It feels like someone is profiting from information asymmetry. Once the data is out, we'll see if it's a precise timing move. Our crypto market is probably going to experience intense volatility.

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GasFeeTherapist

· 01-07 10:39

Whoa, 200,000 contracts? This guy really dares to play, feels like it's about to explode.

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StablecoinAnxiety

· 01-07 10:36

200,000 contracts? Is this guy trying to directly manipulate the non-farm payrolls trend?

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