2026-01-08 16:21:35

⚠️ Housing market alert: we're staring at a replay of 2006.

The numbers tell the story. Real US home prices have climbed to roughly 300 on the index—that's 13% above the 2006 peak of 266. Meanwhile, the historical equilibrium sits around 155.

Let that sink in. We're not just near the last bubble; we're significantly beyond it. The gap keeps widening.

Historically, these extended deviations don't last. When asset prices drift this far from fundamentals, mean reversion becomes inevitable. The 2006 collapse showed us what happens when the correction hits.

Whether it's real estate, equities, or crypto—understanding these macro cycles matters. Markets don't forget their past patterns; they just dress them up differently.

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FOMOSapien

· 13h ago

Housing prices have risen to 300... 13% higher than the bubble in 2006. The gap from the fundamentals at 155 is so large that a correction is inevitable. --- Talking about mean reversion again, this theory doesn't seem to work well for the housing market; it just keeps going up and hitting the ceiling. --- We've seen the crypto cycle before, can real estate be any different... It seems very difficult. --- 300 vs 155, that gap is indeed a bit outrageous, but who dares to bet on it continuing to fall? --- Have we learned nothing from the lessons of 2006? Or is it just time to get cut again? --- So now, should we buy the dip or run... This question is asked every cycle. --- The housing bubble is more stubborn than crypto; at least coins can go to zero, but houses are just sitting there, firmly pressed down.

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degenwhisperer

· 15h ago

The exponent of 300? Oh my, that's 13% higher than in 2006. This time it's really going to explode. --- Tired of mean reversion, every time they say that, but the market still rises as usual. --- Housing prices, stocks, crypto—bubbles carved from the same mold, it's boring. --- Wait, is this data real? Feels like every year they predict a crash. --- Historical equilibrium point 155? Then we’d have to fall by half, that’s crazy just to think about. --- The lessons from 2006 are over ten years ago, yet people are still gambling the same way. --- We understand virtual asset bubbles, but housing is different—someone has to live there. --- Macro cycles, cycles, cycles—been saying this for years, but the market still soars. --- The most outrageous thing is that it’s so far from fundamentals yet still rising. Where did the logic go? --- Asset prices can deviate from reality for so long—what does that indicate?

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AllInAlice

· 01-10 11:06

300 vs 155, this gap is outrageous... Is another round of harvesting ready?

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TokenomicsDetective

· 01-08 16:51

Honestly, this housing bubble is more outrageous than in 2006, 300 vs 266... It should have been adjusted earlier.

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SandwichTrader

· 01-08 16:45

300 vs 155, the gap is really wide, you're truly playing with fire.

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RugDocDetective

· 01-08 16:30

Why are housing prices rising so crazily? Just wait and see the correction, history always repeats itself.

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MEVSandwichMaker

· 01-08 16:25

300vs155, this gap is huge, isn't anyone calling for a stop? --- Here comes the 2006 script again, will it really collapse this time or just keep hyping? --- Housing prices soaring to a new all-time high and still rising, it feels like a rupture is just one pin away --- I've heard the term mean reversion so many times, but when it actually happens, everyone is clueless lol --- Crypto is the same old story, everyone just doesn't learn their lesson --- Even after breaking the 300 peak, people are still buying in, I really respect that --- History always repeats itself, just with a different disguise. Who will be the next victim?

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