2026-01-11 02:22:29

The trend of BCH still maintains good resilience, and the strong pattern is still there. From the perspective of retracement, the deepest correction has a 30% probability of touching the support around 300, and in 50% of cases, it may stop falling at the 500 level. There is also an 80% chance that the pullback will only be about 5 points.

From the weekly, monthly, to yearly charts, the upward trend is very clear. The current strategy is to avoid the risk of a broad market decline; as long as it does not follow the overall market correction significantly, you can confidently continue to hold.

BCH0,23%

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BagHolderTillRetire

· 23h ago

BCH's resilience is indeed impressive, but I'm worried that if the overall market moves together, everything will be ruined.

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MetaverseHomeless

· 01-11 02:52

BCH's resilience is real, just worried about a sudden market drop Always talking about probabilities, but in the end, the market decides Feels like the 300 support level is quite precarious, but holding the position as a long-term bet If we can withstand this wave without risking the market, it will be stable; the key still depends on the overall trend A five-point pullback? Then I’ll just pretend it never happened haha

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P2ENotWorking

· 01-11 02:51

bch this resilience is indeed impressive, but can the 300 support really hold? Feels uncertain --- It's the yearly, monthly, and weekly lines again. Every time it's the same story of following the trend down, I guess I'll believe it halfway --- I'm tired of hearing "avoid market risk," can we actually dodge it, friends? --- 500 to stop the fall? I bet on 5 points, but when the market comes, it will break through instantly --- Hold on, hold on, why do they keep telling us to hold? --- A strong pattern or whatever, let's wait until it retraces before talking --- It's a probability game—30%, 50%, 80%, what about the other possibilities? --- It's quite difficult to avoid a major market correction under this premise

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GasFeeCrier

· 01-11 02:50

300 dares to say this, is this analysis meant to scare people or do they really have enough confidence? Anyway, I don't dare to increase my position anymore.

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BTCRetirementFund

· 01-11 02:36

Forget it, BCH's resilience is indeed decent, but I'm just worried that if the market drops, we'll all get caught in the fallout. That 300 support level feels a bit shaky; I'm still optimistic about 500. Honestly, this move is just a gamble on the overall market not to tank too badly. If there's a slight pullback, I'll just keep holding. If it really follows the trend and drops sharply, it'll be awkward. Better to be cautious, no mistake about it.

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SchrodingerGas

· 01-11 02:36

This probability discussion seems a bit overconfident, stacking 30%, 50%, and 80% to imply inevitability? A typical hindsight bias. Holding isn't a problem, but don't be hypnotized by these "confidence" figures. In the face of a coordinated decline, probability tables are all worthless.

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