Many people who trade cryptocurrencies tend to chase highs, only to get caught in a trap. But upon closer reflection, the real issue isn't how difficult the market is to predict, but rather that the trading logic itself has flaws.

Instead of blindly following the crowd, it's better to establish a dedicated filtering system to capture certain market opportunities. Using this method correctly can significantly reduce the risk of being caught, and the win rate can even approach 70%.

**Step 1: Identify Targets in the Initial Launch Phase**

The target price increase should be strictly controlled between 3%-7%. Steadily rising coins that have already surged significantly should be avoided; don't buy at high levels. Coins that have been sideways for a long time with no signs of movement should also be filtered out, as these often attract little to no capital attention. Why focus on this range? Because during this stage, the main funds have already quietly started their positions, but retail investors haven't followed yet. The risk of intervention is lowest, and the operational space is greatest.

**Step 2: Monitor Capital Flow Data, Don't Rely on Market Stories**

The volume ratio should be kept within 2, and the turnover rate should be maintained between 5%-8%. These two indicators are key to judging the true intentions of capital. A surge in volume ratio usually indicates overheated sentiment or that the main players are offloading. Abnormal turnover rates may hide manipulation risks. Coins that meet these conditions generally won't skyrocket on the same day but will accelerate in the next day's K-line, making the opportunity highly certain.

**Step 3: Liquidity Is the Bottom Line for Safety**

Trading volume should start at least 100 million yuan, and the circulating market cap should be maintained between 30 billion and 100 billion yuan. A market cap that's too small is easy to manipulate, while a very large cap incurs high capital costs and lower returns. This range ensures the market can start smoothly and provides enough trading depth, preventing liquidity from breaking down.

**What is the core logic?**

Abandon reliance on rumors and refuse to be driven by emotions. Focus only on the certain gains during the phase when the main players are just starting their positions and capital hasn't fully exposed itself. When a coin simultaneously meets these three conditions, the next day's opening is often not risky but rather the best window to realize profits.

Making money has never been about luck or the fantasy of overnight riches, but about continuously reducing mistakes and precisely capturing high-certainty opportunities to accumulate gains.