2026-01-11 23:52:50

The advantages of early participants are actually quite obvious. The first round is usually led by the project team or core ecosystem partners, making it extremely difficult to acquire tokens at the earliest stage.

Interestingly, many people overlook a key indicator—the distribution of token holdings. Simply holding a hundred or two hundred thousand tokens and following the trend to buy carries inherent risks. If you don't first research the main holders' movements and release plans, it's easy to fall into a trap.

What's more interesting is that most seasoned traders in the market are well aware of this logic. They have already developed their own set of judgment criteria—first examining the holding distribution, then deciding on participation strategies. This difference in perception, to some extent, determines the profit curves of different market participants.

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HalfBuddhaMoney

· 14h ago

It's the same old story again, sounding as if it's true, but actually it's just luck. --- Position distribution is indeed important, but most retail investors don't understand on-chain data at all. --- Early advantage? Ha, insiders are the real advantage, okay. --- Copycats will never learn this logic because they simply don't want to spend time studying. --- Reasonable, cognitive differences ultimately lead to differences in returns—harsh but true. --- Talking about veteran standards, but at critical moments, aren't we all falling together? --- So how do you determine who is the main force and who are retail investors? That's the real question. --- This logic is correct, but most people will still be driven by emotions when executing. --- It's right to say that, but it also doesn't explain why some dark horses can still turn around. --- Position distribution looks simple, but in practice, it's hellish difficulty to operate.

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DaisyUnicorn

· 16h ago

Position distribution is really underestimated. I used to follow blindly too, and the painful lessons learned afterward. The difference between veterans and newcomers lies in whether they look at on-chain data. Daring to go all-in with only 1.2 to 3 million coins—I've had that mindset before. Thinking back now, it's truly naive.

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AltcoinMarathoner

· 16h ago

nah most people just see big numbers and FOMO in without checking the distribution charts... been there, done that. mile 20 energy when you realize the team still holds 60% of the supply lol

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BoredWatcher

· 16h ago

It's the same argument about the portfolio distribution again—just some casual chatter for seasoned investors. I feel half annoyed, half in agreement... It's true, but most people simply don't have the time to dig into the holdings data. If you ask me, it's still a matter of information asymmetry; there are just too many players.

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SatoshiChallenger

· 16h ago

Data shows that those who ignore position distribution and rush in end up most of the time as the chopped leeks after half a year. A lesson from history, everyone. Ironically, those who truly make money never boast about it; they just quietly watch Whale wallets. Buying 1.2 to 1.3 million coins just because of FOMO? Objectively, this is just betting on the project team's mood. Another round of leek chopping drama, just switching to a new coin. I'm not exaggerating—where did the group of people who "studied their holdings thoroughly" in 2018 go now? Interesting, one indicator can determine the profit curve? Then this market really is just a game of probabilities.

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MidnightSeller