Gate Square Daily | Jan 20 📊

Macro meets crypto—here’s what’s shaping the market today 👇
🔹 Fed Outlook
Markets are pricing a 95% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January. Risk assets are breathing easier, but traders remain cautious ahead of future guidance.
🔹 Bitcoin OG Move
A long-term Bitcoin holder from 13 years ago just moved 909 BTC—an unrealized gain of roughly 13,900×. These rare movements always spark speculation, but they also highlight BTC’s long-term value narrative.
🔹 ETH Treasury Activity
FG Nexus, with around $120M in ETH, sold 2,500 ETH. Likely treasury management rather than panic—but large ETH sales are still something the market keeps a close eye on.
🔹 Japan Bonds Shock
Japan’s 40-year government bond yield has crossed 4% for the first time since its 2007 launch. A big signal that global liquidity conditions are shifting, with potential ripple effects across risk markets.
🔹 Institutional Demand Stays Strong
Analysts estimate institutions added about $53B worth of Bitcoin over the past year. Despite volatility, big money conviction in BTC appears intact.
💬 What’s your take?
Is the market setting up for consolidation, or is a new momentum wave loading? Which asset are you watching most right now—BTC, ETH, or something else?
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