[Red Packet] March 13 Market Review: Major Divergence Reveals the True Value of Guerrilla Trading Tactics, Precise Low Absorption + Intraday Arbitrage Are the Only Safe Hedging Methods!

Brothers! The live broadcast reservation is now open! March 17th (next Tuesday) from 8:00 PM to 9:30 PM! We’ll explain how to play the rotation guerrilla strategy! See you then! [Taogu Ba]

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VCR backtest of the Yunnan Energy script:

Kore, Gannan Energy, Yunnan Energy—are they all leading?

Morning bidding info:

1. Zhongnan Culture, largest order, increased buy orders, power + media, a countertrend rebound.
2. Kuntai Shares, three groups, observe 20-minute and opening waterfall, to verify if the second board node is correct.
3. Henglong Hailong, chemical + military industry, added a single.
4. Green Power, green electricity.
5. Luhua Technology, chemical, weak buy.
6. Zhengzhou Coal & Electricity, coal chemical, weak buy.
7. Bidding for quick accumulation: Dongshan Precision, Sunshine Power, leaning towards support actions; Baichuan, Jinniu Chemical, chemical sector.

Bidding risk/opportunity analysis and tips:

1. Just look after the 20-minute mark. I don’t really trust the one-word order of China Power Construction. Luckily, it was canceled, or else the power sector would have been fully expected to rally, which would be bad—too easy to be fulfilled.
   At 9:21, a reminder about Zhongnan adding orders, suggesting power sector rotation is likely, not due to media factors, but related to power. If power bidding opens well, it indicates continued strength; if it underperforms, it suggests a rotation expectation.
   Kuntai’s one-word order, a hard signal from the three groups, has been warned about; watch if it waterfalls. For stocks in the three groups, at least set conditional orders; if no explosion, consider a second buy.
   Hengtian, chemical + military, added a one-word order. Interestingly, Hengtian’s order size exceeds Green Power, hinting at relative strength.
   Green Power’s buy volume isn’t very decisive; yesterday’s wind power sector, theoretically, could have opened higher without issue, but it opened lower than Hengtian.

2. At 9:28, a reminder that Dongshan Precision and Sunshine Power are supporting with buy orders, indicating defensive accumulation, suggesting funds are not optimistic about the main upward move, implying likely rotation—see who is stronger.
   After bidding ends, Baichuan’s support turns strong, Jinniu surpasses the top, chemical sector adds a single, power sector Green Power adds a single, Zhongnan adds orders, but the premium in the back ranks is worrying.
   Details show chemical is slightly stronger, but this isn’t very favorable for late entries. Watch how funds choose; if they pick chemical, the rotation speed accelerates. Yesterday, it was electric backflow; today, it shifts directly to chemicals. Weak sectors today may turn strong tomorrow, so it’s better to wait until the surge ends and then do low buys in core stocks.

From the closing of bidding, the information we can derive:

1. Hengtian’s buy orders exceed Green Power, chemical sector shows strength expectation, power sector divergence expected.
2. Zhongnan adds orders, power sector’s back rank premium is poor, indicating divergence and rotation in power.
3. Sentiment is weak, implying electric sector internal rotation, with delayed capital backflow.

Today’s operations:

1. Clear out Zhejiang Literature’s defensive position; consider power sector divergence, application side backflow is further delayed.
2. Reduced a bid for Shao Energy; sold at the five-day moving average after a dip at the open.
3. Chemical sector’s Hongbaoli advances; Red Wall bonds follow the trend for arbitrage.
4. Seli bonds arbitrage—been talking about this; previously played with brain-machine interface stocks. Be quick.
5. End of day, touched Jinkai; five-day trend remains strong, expecting a correction.

Today’s review:

Let’s keep this chart.

First, verify the logic:

1. Think about why stocks 3 and 4 are in focus. Essentially, power can hedge risk, but computing power isn’t doing well. Power has already started rotating yesterday—wind and nuclear power. If sentiment is poor, you should defend rather than attack. So, if sentiment is bad, power might be rotating again, meaning it’s still on the table. The core five-day line at the end of the day can be touched again for a correction, but position control is necessary. This has been emphasized over the past two days.

2. Is this statement valuable? It’s been bolded in the review for days. Backtest: chasing high on the same day is often a bad move and can lead to traps. I always suggest low buying in the comments. If there’s a good relay opportunity, I’ve also mentioned it. But such opportunities are rare in this environment—be patient. Yesterday, I bought electric sector stocks, which should be profitable if defensive. Today, do some T+0 trades in chemicals, and consider the excitement in brain-machine interface stocks.

Check the consecutive limit-ups:
5 boards:
Zhongnan Culture, power + media, largest order, preparing for a rebound. Why? Think about it.
4 boards:
Hua Electric Energy, big position, coal + green power, good market cap, important feedback on Monday.
3 boards:
Jinniu Chemical, chemical + wind power + coal, trend accelerating, high but not low.
2 boards:
Zhengzhou Coal & Electricity, coal chemical + computing power.
Luhua, coal chemical + hydrogen energy.
Farsight, fiber optics + energy storage, three.
Dajin Heavy Industry, wind power equipment.
Sanfangxiang, chemical.

First boards on Sunday and pre-set stocks are discussed together.

Thanks to brothers @Yijiang Qiandai @Dming for supporting me in the last post!

Thanks to brothers @Wozheng TashuoShanDian @ShanshuiZhongRen @Yijiang Qiandai @YouziYouNianTi @YerenChongChongChong @MasterWu @ZhixingBushou @Mosang888 @LvtuTu @LiujinSuiYue1188 @Jishu for support. Wishing everyone’s accounts stay red!

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