# NonfarmPayrollsComing

Non-farm Payrolls Release Day: Why Do Markets Often Move in the Opposite Direction?
Many traders share a common confusion: even when non-farm data appears to be bullish for a certain asset, the price tends to move in the opposite direction. The reason is not that the market is "wrong," but that it has already priced in the expectations in advance. On non-farm release days, the market essentially becomes a game of "positions versus expectations."
Before the data is released, a large amount of capital has already been positioned based on expectations. Once the data is out, if the results merely

Beyond Non-Farm Payrolls, what is more worth警惕的是“就业拐点”
Compared to the single Non-Farm Payrolls report, what investors should be more警惕的是“就业结构性变化带来的“拐点信号”。 Historically, what truly influences the medium- to long-term market trend is not a single employment report falling significantly short of expectations, but rather sustained weakening of employment data over multiple months, accompanied by a synchronized decline in other economic indicators.
For example, when job gains continue to decline, the unemployment rate trends upward, and news of layoffs increases, it often indicates a substantial c

#NonfarmPayrollsComing The Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report is one of the most closely watched economic indicators in the U.S. It measures the number of jobs added or lost in the economy, excluding farm workers, government employees, and a few other sectors. NFP data has a major impact on the U.S. dollar, interest rate expectations, and global markets, including cryptocurrencies.
Why NFP Matters
Strong job growth signals a healthy economy. This typically strengthens the dollar and raises expectations for higher interest rates. In such an environment, risk assets like crypto, stocks, and gold may

Looking at Non-Farm Payrolls to gauge Federal Reserve rate cut expectations is often overrated
Before and after each Non-Farm Payrolls release, the hottest topic in the market is almost always “When will the Fed cut rates?” However, a review of history shows that the market tends to price in rate cuts faster than reality. Even if the non-farm data shows a temporary slowdown, it doesn't necessarily lead to an immediate change in the Fed’s policy stance, because the Fed pays more attention to “trends” rather than “single data points.”
The resilience of employment data actually gives the Fed more