4 новых кошелька внезапно делают ставки на геополитические события в Polymarket, что скрывается за этим?

【Block Rhythm】Chain data monitoring has discovered an interesting phenomenon. Recently, 4 newly created wallets were detected all focusing on the same prediction on the prediction market Polymarket — the United States taking military action against Iran before January 31, 2026. What’s even more noteworthy is the unusually focused activity of these wallets: aside from this prediction order, they have conducted no other transactions.

This highly concentrated and singular prediction behavior is quite rare in prediction markets. Usually whale wallets diversify their bets across multiple different event predictions to hedge risks or gain multi-angle information advantages. Now, the behavior pattern of these 4 new wallets is clearly different — they appear to be precisely orchestrated, operating at the same time point, on the same platform, targeting the same event.

This has sparked market reflection: Is this institutional early positioning? Or is it a concentrated bet by someone with inside information? Or merely coincidence? While prediction markets permit such operations, such anomalous on-chain footprints often become key signals for experienced traders and data analysts.