Foreign Media Exposes Trump's Proposed 15-Point US-Iran "Peace Plan": Complete Nuclear Abandonment in Exchange for Lifting Sanctions, Is There a Turning Point in Middle East Tensions?

Middle East Negotiations Open? According to foreign media reports, the Trump administration has submitted a “15-Point Peace Plan” to Iran through intermediaries. The core logic of the plan is extremely bold: demanding Iran to completely dismantle nuclear facilities, transfer enriched uranium, and cut off regional proxies in exchange for the U.S. fully lifting economic sanctions. Trump expressed optimism, stating that both sides have reached a preliminary consensus, calling it a “precious gift.”
(Background: Brent crude oil drops below $95, Trump claims Iran has surrendered; Iran refutes this.)
(Additional context: JPMorgan CEO: Iran conflict could lead to long-term stability in the Middle East, but short-term risks include capital flight.)

Table of Contents

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• Core of the 15-Point Plan: The “Final Battle” over Iran’s Nuclear Program
• The Carrot After the Stick: Full Sanction Relief and Economic Incentives
• The Roshomon: Iran’s Denial and Israel’s Concerns
• Market Perspective: Five-Day Window to Decide Global Asset Trends

A major geopolitical deal in the Middle East seems to be emerging. After President Donald Trump announced a five-day pause on attacks against Iran’s energy facilities, details of the “15-Point Peace Plan” led by his son-in-law Jared Kushner and special envoy Steve Witkoff have been disclosed by multiple foreign media outlets. Seen by Trump as the ultimate blueprint to resolve Middle East chaos, it attempts to exchange “maximum pressure” for “maximum peace.”

Core of the 15-Point Plan: The “Final Battle” over Iran’s Nuclear Program

This plan, not yet fully published, demands extremely stringent denuclearization from Iran. According to media summaries, U.S. negotiation conditions nearly require Iran to withdraw all nuclear advancements made over the past decade:

2. Immediate Ceasefire: Implement a one-month ceasefire first, allowing time for subsequent negotiations.
3. Dismantle Existing Nuclear Capabilities: Iran must fully dismantle current nuclear facilities and cease related nuclear development.
4. No Nuclear Weapons Development: Iran must explicitly commit to not developing nuclear weapons in the future.
5. Stop Uranium Enrichment on Domestic Soil: Iran must halt all uranium enrichment activities within its territory.
6. Transfer Enriched Uranium Stockpile: Approximately 450 kg of 60% enriched uranium to be transferred to the IAEA according to schedule.
7. Close Key Nuclear Facilities: Dismantle or permanently shut down Natanz, Isfahan, Fordow, and other major nuclear sites.
8. Full IAEA Oversight: Allow the IAEA to conduct comprehensive and unrestricted inspections and monitoring.
9. Limit Missile Development: Significantly restrict or halt ballistic missile development and testing.
10. Cease Support for Regional Proxies: Stop backing groups like Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis in Yemen.
11. Guarantee Freedom of Navigation in the Strait of Hormuz: Keep the strait fully open, ensuring international shipping is unaffected (Iran has signaled some concessions).
12. Release Hostages: Release all detainees within 72 hours.
13. Security Assurances: Including commitments to cease direct threats against Israel and the U.S.

13–15. Other Details: Reports suggest the plan may also include regional stability measures, extended arms embargoes, and oversight mechanisms, but details remain largely undisclosed.

The Carrot After the Stick: Full Sanction Relief and Economic Incentives

In exchange, the Trump administration has offered Iran an economic package difficult to refuse. If Iran fulfills the 15 points, the U.S. promises to fully lift all international and American sanctions, cancel the “snapback” mechanism, and even support strictly regulated civilian nuclear programs.

Trump previously publicly indicated that Iran has shown concessions on “never possessing nuclear weapons” and “Hormuz Strait passage rights,” calling this a “precious gift” to the world.

Roshomon: Iran’s Denial and Israel’s Concerns

Despite Trump’s optimistic tone, the reality remains complex:

• Iran’s Response: Tehran officially denies engaging in formal negotiations and reportedly has its own counter-list, including demands for U.S. withdrawal from Middle Eastern bases and imposing transit fees on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz.
• Israel’s Concerns: Israeli officials worry that the “one-month ceasefire” clause could give Iran a breathing space, and fear Trump might make excessive concessions to “seal the deal.”

Market Perspective: Five-Day Window to Decide Global Asset Trends

The exposure of this 15-point plan explains why crude oil prices recently plummeted while risk assets surged. The market is in a highly uncertain “ceasefire vacuum.” If some consensus is reached, global inflation expectations could significantly cool, favoring a shift toward more dovish Federal Reserve policies, boosting Bitcoin and U.S. stocks. Conversely, if negotiations break down after five days, markets could face sharper geopolitical corrections.