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Macroeconomist Analysis: The United States is heading towards a large-scale recession, while the Fed is turning a blind eye.
Macroeconomist Henrik Zeberg pointed out that the Fed, despite having a large number of PhD economists, failed to notice the impending severe economic recession. He believes that the unemployment rate is an important indicator for predicting a recession, and the current unemployment rate in the United States has reached 4.6% in November, increasing the likelihood of a recession to about 40%.