It seems this Monday will be another "black" one. These past few days, influenced by the unreliable situation, there has been a series of emotional trading and buying pressure. The night before last, Trump announced a tariff exemption policy, and as soon as this news broke, the market immediately surged. The price of the coin shot up to the 86100 range. I thought we could ride the wave of favourable information on Monday, but instead, we were caught off guard by the market fluctuations. It seems like a united front, but in reality, internal information is frequently leaked ahead of time, leading to an imbalance in timing control, which causes market expectations to swing back and forth. This is not the first time; the script of a 90-day tariff pause has just been played out. The market has also been quite volatile these past two days. As much as possible, I will wait for short-term opportunities to avoid getting slapped!

The news about the tariffs on electronic devices has not yet settled, and it has been personally denied by Ater, turning what should have been a quietly released Favourable Information into a chaotic signal on stage. The result is: those who should rise dare not rise, and those who should remain stable dare not remain stable. Ater and Lutnick, like a dual operating system of the Federal Reserve and Powell, frequently disrupt their own market rhythm. Overall, the market is currently in a very delicate phase. Favourable Information can bring short-term rebounds, but there is heavy pressure above; negative news may trigger severe fluctuations. In this environment, the best strategy is to control positions.
Looking at today, the pressure at 86700 has not been broken through, and a clear right-side overbought signal has appeared in the short-term 4-hour box pattern. The 86700 level is close to the end of the rebound, the upper Bollinger band has already come under pressure, and the moving averages have not crossed above. If today continues to follow the 4-hour channel with adjustments and wash trading step by step, there is a high probability that it will return to this downward channel, replaying yesterday's washing scenario. Today's biggest risk is not the technical aspect, but the policy news aspect, which no one can predict.
Therefore, in short-term operations, the focus is still on short positions, and the upper area can rely on the 84000-84800 range to pump, with the target looking at the lower area of 82200-81300. #BTC & ETH周末行情分析 #行情震荡，做空还是做多？ #特朗普暂停关税