#ETH巨鲸扩大持仓 From a monthly rent of 300 for a handshake building to assets worth millions: Four hard truths that have helped me survive in the crypto market.

Let's start with a true story.

In the winter of 2016, my cousin was living in a dilapidated old small apartment in an urban village, with only 183.91 left in his bank card. He would spend a long time calculating whether to eat the 13 yuan fast food downstairs—should he eat it or not? He endured this kind of life for a year and a half.

Eight years have passed. Now his account has 24.27 million.

This is not some inspirational platitude. It is a survival rule that he has earned with real money and the blood and tears of liquidation.

**Rule 1: Horizontal consolidation after a pump is often a prelude to distribution**

In 2017, I followed the trend and chased a small coin that surged 300%, only to suffer a significant loss. It was only after reviewing that I realized — a rapid increase of over 30%, a high-level consolidation for about three days, and then a significant drop of 15%, this is a typical rhythm of capital withdrawal.

Last year, when $AVAX surged to $150 and showed a similar trend, I directly shorted it. Three weeks later, I closed the position, earning 870k.

**Rule 2: A decline in trading volume is more dangerous than a crash**

In 2019, I heavily invested in a mainstream coin that had been consolidating for two months with decreasing trading volume. At the time, I thought it was gathering strength. What was the result? It plummeted directly to $12.

Now my system has a hard rule: if the turnover rate is below 2% and deviates from the 20-day moving average by more than 20%, an automatic short position will be placed. A consolidation with exhausted volume indicates that funds are fleeing.

**Rule Three: The true bottom speaks; first look at volume, then look at price**

During the "3.12" crash in 2020, I bought the dip on $LINK and got stuck badly. Later, I analyzed over 300 historical bottom cases before I understood: a moderate increase in volume over three consecutive days after a period of low volume consolidation is the real bottom signal.

When Bitcoin fell to $25,000 last year, this pattern appeared, and I went all in. Six months later, I sold at $42,000 and gathered the down payment for a house in Shenzhen.

**Rule Four: Technology is a tool, position is life**

There are always two sentences stuck on my computer screen:
"The candlestick chart tells the story of the market, but the trading volume reveals the unhidden truth."
"Always operate with half positions, and you will always have a chance to turn things around."

Last year during the $PEPE wave, there was FOMO across the entire network. I focused on one signal: breaking out of the consolidation range + trading volume increasing by more than 5 times. I only entered when the conditions were met, and I took profit immediately after the trend line was broken.

In the end, I only made 12 times and left. Later, it continued to soar, and many people cursed me for being foolish. But what happened later? A catastrophic crash, and all those who stayed ended up being liquidated.

This market never talks about emotions.

It only recognizes rules and disciplines.

These four rules won't give you the secrets to getting rich quickly, but they will provide you with a set of tools to survive on this bloody battlefield. A bull market will eventually come, but the prerequisite is - you have to survive until that day.

One last question: do you want to be the reaper, or continue to be the one being reaped?