🔴 The beginning of 2025 was marked by widespread pessimism due to Trump's protectionist rhetoric and fears of bubbles, but economic performance was relatively better than expected.



◾Global growth, trade, and financial markets surprised analysts and led to a revision of some prevailing assumptions, according to an analysis by "Financial Times"

◾Many US tariff threats proved to be negotiation tools rather than permanent policies

◾The diminished actual impact of tariffs helped improve risk appetite and support global growth

◾Economies and companies demonstrated a higher-than-expected ability to adapt to shocks

◾China enhanced its resilience through supply chains, innovation, and expanding exports to alternative markets

◾Several governments resorted to stimulus and reforms to counteract the effects of “America First”

◾US companies absorbed shocks by cutting costs, diversifying suppliers, and building inventories

◾Artificial intelligence and healthcare emerged as major shock absorbers for the US economy

◾Forecasts underestimated interactions and resilience, despite accurately diagnosing core risks

#TrumpTariffs #FOMCWatch
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