2025-12-16 00:10:37

#大户持仓变化 A calm reflection on $XRP: What signals is the technical picture sending?

Recently, XRP's price action has indeed been worth paying attention to. The RSI indicator has dropped to 12.7, indicating what? An extremely oversold condition. The price is being suppressed by multiple moving averages, which looks dangerous. But we need to see the story behind it clearly.

The data is laid out here:

Liquidity is in crisis. Active buy orders in the market are decreasing, which is an undisputed fact. The scale of long positions liquidated within 24 hours far exceeds that of shorts—what does this phenomenon mean? Participants are panicking and bottom-fishing.

The reality on the account side. Statistics show that over 55% of holders are still bullish, which is usually a dangerous signal at the bottom. Group psychology often fails at extremes.

So, from a trading perspective?

The first key level: 1.850. If it cannot hold, it’s an important technical breakdown point.

The second key level: below 1.780. Once this zone is breached, it enters a deep phase of value reassessment.

Trading is essentially about seeking probabilistic advantages amid uncertainty. Extreme market conditions often breed opportunities, but only if you can see the direction clearly. XRP’s current situation requires more observation rather than blind intervention.

The biggest risk in trading is not loss, but losing without understanding why.

XRP-2,27%

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JustHereForMemes

· 2025-12-18 17:37

55% still bullish? Isn't this just the classic trap at the bottom? Let's wait and see.

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TopBuyerBottomSeller

· 2025-12-18 17:36

55% bullish at the bottom? That's a contrarian indicator, retail investors are really jumping in wave after wave.

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PositionPhobia

· 2025-12-16 00:39

It's probably going to break below 1.8; we really need to be cautious this time.

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Layer2Observer

· 2025-12-16 00:39

RSI 12.7 is indeed an extreme value, but I am more concerned about the signal of liquidity exhaustion... 55% bullish at the bottom is often a trap. From the source code perspective, this is an on-chain position structure imbalance. We need to see if 1.850 can hold.

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AirdropCollector

· 2025-12-16 00:36

55% still bullish? That’s outrageous. The bottom arbitrage players are usually the last to take the plunge. If we can't hold the 1.850 level, we need to get out quickly.

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TestnetFreeloader

· 2025-12-16 00:30

RSI 12.7 is really amazing, but a 55% bullish outlook at the bottom is often a trap. I actually want to see if 1.850 can hold, that's the real test.

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ForumLurker

· 2025-12-16 00:26

RSI dropping to 12.7 is truly outrageous, but 55% still bullish? That's just absurd. With so much optimism at the bottom, you're definitely going to face some setbacks.

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