#大户持仓变化 Wealth opportunities and risks are always twin brothers. A single decision can determine whether an account is green or red.

How did the market move last night? Bitcoin plunged in the evening, dropping to 85,073 at the lowest, then rebounded to 86,521 before calming down. It then entered a range-bound tug-of-war. Ethereum followed the same pattern—initially dipping to 2,890, then climbing back to 2,966.

What does the four-hour chart look like? A large bearish candle. The price has already tested the lower Bollinger Band, retracing more than half of the gains. Downward momentum is still present. Although there’s a short-term rebound, the overall trend remains oscillating downward. The hourly level is more straightforward—two consecutive bearish candles directly broke through previous support. Moving averages are all diverging downward, and oversold sentiment is accumulating.

But here’s a detail: the closing was near 86,000, holding the line. This suggests a possibility of a secondary rebound.

The trading strategy is simple. In the early session, consider a small long position around 86,000 to see how the market corrects. If a second upward surge can withstand resistance, consider increasing the position. If it breaks below, cut losses.

Bitcoin: Consider going long near 86,000, target 88,000
Ethereum: Position long around 2,950, target 3,100