#美联储降息 12.16 Gold Price Trend Observation



Gold prices have formed a clear double-top pattern around the 4360 level. In recent trading days, the price has accelerated downward from above the moving average, directly breaking through this key support. It is currently still under continuous pressure from the moving average, showing a very obvious weak trend. As mentioned yesterday, breaking through near 4380 faces significant resistance, and after that, the market approached 4360 twice but was pushed back each time. There is a clear lack of bullish buying interest, and the recent trend is inclined to continue weakening. There is room for further decline, with the next target being the starting point of this rally at 4260.

The November non-farm employment data will be released tonight. The market generally expects this to be bullish for gold, but there is a noteworthy phenomenon—market movements and data performance often do not synchronize, so gold may not necessarily follow the trend upward. This dislocation is actually the most interesting part of the trading market.

Reference Strategy: Short at 4350, stop loss at 4365, profit target at 4270

Risk Warning: Market trading involves risks. Please conduct thorough assessments before making decisions.
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GmGnSleepervip
· 2025-12-18 21:21
Double top crashes down, 4260 will reveal the truth. Anyway, the non-farm payroll data is also fake; those following the trend will all get cut.
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TeaTimeTradervip
· 2025-12-17 18:49
We've seen this double top breakout pattern many times, but I'm just worried that the non-farm payrolls will cause a shocking reversal again. If that happens, it would be awkward if the bulls suddenly surge back.
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CoffeeOnChainvip
· 2025-12-16 01:50
The double top has dropped. See you at 4260? The non-farm payroll data tonight... I think a reverse operation might be the right move.
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ForkTonguevip
· 2025-12-16 01:49
The double top is about to break, and it feels like the 4360 level can't hold. Once the non-farm payroll data is released, I fear we might deviate from the topic. I still prefer to hold onto the short positions.
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SchrodingerWalletvip
· 2025-12-16 01:32
Double top breakdown, the timing to enter a short position at 4350 has arrived... The non-farm payroll data might cause a reversal again, I am optimistic about the 4270 target.
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governance_ghostvip
· 2025-12-16 01:26
The double top has dropped, and the 4350 short position really needs to be taken, betting that this data won't turn the market around.
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