2025-12-16 03:10:27

#美联储降息 Tuesday Market Watch: Bitcoin and Ethereum Duet

Everyone, the market has been quite active these days. Non-farm payroll data is coming out today, and the Bank of Japan is set to announce its interest rate decision on the 19th, which has investors on edge.

From a macro perspective, these two events are no small matters. If the Bank of Japan truly begins an interest rate hike cycle, the Nikkei index has already shown some reaction, and it may continue to face pressure. Regarding non-farm data, after Powell's recent speech, the market generally expects good data—essentially, employment figures might be solid. Once confirmed, the Federal Reserve's room for future rate cuts will need to be reassessed. US stocks are already showing signs of correction, and a decline in risk appetite is highly likely.

On the trading front, $BTC has been consolidating below 87,000 all night. During Asian and European sessions, you can try light short positions, and follow the trend on rebounds, with an initial target around 83,500.

As for $ETH, the situation looks a bit fierce. It has broken below the key support at 3000, with a clear bearish technical pattern, and is likely to continue approaching 2660. The current strategy is mainly to short in sync and avoid betting on rebounds. Keep an eye on $BNB as well.

BTC0,92%

ETH1,97%

BNB0,91%

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DaoGovernanceOfficer

· 2025-12-19 03:08

nah, empirically speaking this macro thesis is just vibes-based tbh. where's the quantitative data on fed pivot probability? the framework here reads like glorified TA theater honestly 🤓

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TokenomicsDetective

· 2025-12-16 06:23

Before the Non-Farm Payrolls, this round of moves feels like betting on a reversal of rate cut expectations, which seems a bit uncertain.

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Ser_Liquidated

· 2025-12-16 03:37

Non-farm payrolls are causing trouble again, and this time the Bank of Japan is joining the fun. Waiting for the explosion.

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GasDevourer

· 2025-12-16 03:31

Non-farm payrolls are coming soon. This time, we really need to be careful; it feels like a market crash is coming.

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AirdropHarvester

· 2025-12-16 03:27

Non-farm payrolls are here, and this wave of market movement is indeed a bit fierce. I'm also watching the 87,000 position for BTC; 83,500 feels like it can still fall, but I'm worried that a sudden reversal might come during the rebound.

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ContractBugHunter

· 2025-12-16 03:26

If we can't pass the non-farm data hurdle, mainstream coins will continue to get beaten up.

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WhaleMistaker

· 2025-12-16 03:20

Non-farm payrolls are coming, no need to panic. Anyway, Bitcoin has already fallen below expectations. Consider this wave of short positions as paying tuition fees.

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NotAFinancialAdvice

· 2025-12-16 03:16

The Non-Farm Payrolls are coming, and this time you really need to pay attention. It feels like the Federal Reserve is making this move a bit hastily.

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