2025-12-16 03:12:08

#大户持仓变化 The economic data at 21:30 tonight may rewrite the market logic for the beginning of 2026.

Which of the three scenarios will unfold?

**Scenario A: Data Surprises to the Upside**
The economy remains hot, and interest rate cuts are far off. Market pricing will adjust accordingly, so be prepared for a rapid correction. During such times, $BTC and mainstream coins often experience initial volatility.

**Scenario B: Data Below Expectations**
Signs of recession emerge, but don’t rush to go long — beware of "fake out" traps. Panic may be delayed, and there’s a high chance of repeated fluctuations.

**Scenario C: Data Meets Expectations**
The most straightforward situation: uncertainty dissipates, and major funds stop waiting on the sidelines. This often leads to rotation plays, with altcoins likely to see a wave of participation opportunities.

The key focus is the 22:00 time window — the market reaction after the data release will determine the rhythm for the next few days.

BTC-1,92%

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LightningClicker

· 2025-12-18 18:39

21:30 That wave data... People betting on the script C are probably going to be disappointed. In situations like this where it's "within expectations," will the main funds really move? I'm skeptical. --- Even if it hits the ceiling or falls short of expectations, it feels like there's no way to avoid getting caught in a trap. No matter what, it's uncomfortable. --- The 22:00 time window is indeed critical, but I'm more concerned about whether BTC will crash directly in the first five minutes after the data is released—that's the real game-changer. --- Opportunities in altcoins? Ha, I saw through the "rotation" last time; it's just a game to scalp retail investors. --- Instead of guessing the script, it's better to go all-in on the sidelines and wait for things to settle. Anyway, I've already sold everything, just watching the show. --- If interest rate cuts are nowhere in sight, then buying coins this year might be a bit too optimistic.

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SignatureDenied

· 2025-12-18 16:03

The trick of scamming for sex is really hard to defend against. Every time I think I can buy the dip, I end up getting crushed again.

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FlashLoanLarry

· 2025-12-18 14:26

ngl the "opportunity cost" of sitting on sidelines during that 22:00 window is probably gonna haunt most people... thesis validation incoming either way tbh

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