#大户持仓变化 Ethereum fluctuates around 2930, with bulls and bears unable to gain the upper hand. Ultimately, it's still waiting for the US CPI data "gateway"—only after the data is released can the market find its true direction.

From the candlestick chart, the moving averages are entangled, indicating that the bullish and bearish forces are temporarily stalemated, and no clear trend has formed. On the technical side, resistance levels are quite obvious: breaking through 3000 and 3070 are two key hurdles; downward, the 2850 to 2800 region is relatively well protected. If the price drops to this area, it could trigger a wave of bottom-fishing funds.

Indicator signals are a bit awkward. RSI has entered the overbought zone, so chasing the high at this point could trap traders at the top; MACD momentum is beginning to weaken, suggesting that short-term gains may pause.

Probabilistically, Ethereum is likely to trade back and forth within the 2850 to 3000 range today with an 80% chance. When trading, don’t be driven by market movements; near 3000, you can reduce positions appropriately to lock in some profits. If the price really falls near 2850, based on your risk appetite, you might consider partial positions to bet on a rebound.

Important note: The longer the sideways consolidation lasts, the more intense the potential volatility once a direction is confirmed. Therefore, position management is particularly crucial—don't put all your chips in at once, leave enough buffer space to prevent a sudden reversal from catching you off guard.

Tonight’s CPI data will be the decisive factor; just keep an eye on the market reaction when the time comes.