2025-12-16 07:20:14

#以太坊行情技术解读 The Federal Reserve's recent statements have caused some chaos. Milan wants to cut interest rates more aggressively, Williams thinks the policy is just right now, and Collins says the matter is quite complicated—three people with three different logic, and the market suddenly got confused. As a result, yesterday's expectation gap directly broke through US stocks and cryptocurrencies.

The technicals are also not great. The resistance level hasn't been broken convincingly before, so a pullback now isn't surprising. The trends of $BTC and $ETH are similar, and $SOL isn't doing any better.

From the daily chart, it's still in a downtrend, consolidating below, with no clear reversal signals seen for now. On the hourly chart, the decline has eased somewhat, with MACD's bearish momentum weakening, but there's no sign of turning bullish yet. RSI has fallen to 31.69, which might indicate a short-term rebound demand, but the problem is that all moving averages across different periods are aligned in a bearish pattern, so the overall outlook remains weak.

Trading ideas for reference:

BTC direction——
Order 1: Short in the 87500-86700 range, stop loss above 88500, first target at 85000, if broken then 83600
Order 2: Long in the 85000-85800 range, add position at 83800, stop loss at 999 points, target at 87000-88000

ETH direction——
Order 1: Short in the 3010-2970 range, stop loss above 3060, target at 2810-2770
Order 2: Long in the 2770-2810 range, stop loss below 2720, target at 2890-2940

BTC-2,45%

ETH-3,45%

SOL-3,54%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

20 Likes

Reward
20
6
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

GameFiCritic

· 2025-12-18 18:05

The Fed's recent actions are truly disappointing, with three people singing three different tunes, leaving the market completely confused. The use of the expectation gap as a killer move is really aggressive. Technically, the current situation is like a derelict building, with all moving averages pressing down tightly. There is a rebound demand, but it can't break through. RSI is only 31.69, so a short-term rebound is indeed possible, but this pattern... to be honest, still somewhat weak. Your trading logic is well broken down, but the window for a rebound might be shorter than expected. Be careful of getting cut. --- This decline was caused by the Fed itself, with three sets of statements creating panic. Can the market not crash? --- With RSI at only 31, theoretically, a rebound is possible, but the problem is that the moving averages are arranged too bearish. Those looking to go long should be cautious; this might not be the bottom. --- A classic expectation gap sell-off, the Fed's ability to shift blame is really impressive. From a technical perspective, the weak pattern still dominates; the rebound is just a phase demand. --- All moving averages are in a bearish alignment, which indicates the problem. There is short-term rebound demand, but don't be too optimistic; market clearing is far from over.

View OriginalReply0

NFTFreezer

· 2025-12-18 00:43

These three people at the Federal Reserve are going against the trend here, and the market is directly stunned. There’s no good news in the crypto world, both BTC and ETH are struggling. This wave of decline still needs to be watched, there is a demand for a rebound but the strength is not enough.

View OriginalReply0

MerkleMaid

· 2025-12-16 07:50

The three people at the Federal Reserve really can't come to an agreement, no wonder the market dropped sharply. It's the same old bearish narrative again, feels like we need to wait and see where the bottom is. Hawk and dove swings, retail investors' blood flows like a river. There is indeed a rebound demand at this RSI level, but the moving average alignment doesn't give any opportunity. In the short term, it's better to keep an eye on the 87500 level; if it can't break through, continue downward. One word from the Federal Reserve can smash through the entire market, truly incredible. ETH has fallen so much, it feels like the short position at 3010 should be closed. Every time they say a reversal is near, but it still keeps dropping. 83600 is probably a real support, otherwise this downward trend will never end. The biggest killer is the expectation gap; clearly optimistic about the outcome, but it suddenly breaks through the bottom. All moving averages are empty, this pattern really has to be accepted.

View OriginalReply0

MevShadowranger

· 2025-12-16 07:25

The Federal Reserve's three people are really funny, what kind of show are they putting on haha Doves, hawks, and fence-sitters—the market has been messed up RSI has already fallen to 31, still waiting for a rebound, this bearish alignment is perfect We must hold 2770, or else we'll get hit again

View OriginalReply0

OnchainUndercover

· 2025-12-16 07:24

A few people at the Federal Reserve are arguing like a market, retail investors just have to bear the cost Powell and his team are really funny, one says cut and the other says don't cut, and the market crashes? I think they're just testing the bottom line Feeling like 87,500 is a good short, I bet on 83,600 Is ETH's rebound coming, or will it keep falling? All moving averages are bearish, do you still dare to chase the rally? I wouldn't dare

View OriginalReply0

LiquidationWatcher

· 2025-12-16 07:21

The three people at the Federal Reserve have three different opinions, and the market keeps following the chaos. This wave really caught everyone off guard. Once again, expectation gaps caused a sell-off. Retail investors like us deserve to be harvested. There is short-term rebound demand, but the moving averages are tightly pressing down, and the bearish pattern hasn't changed. We still need to wait for signals. Is this round of correction complete? It feels like we need to grind a bit more. RSI is only around 31, and the technicals still need to weaken further. A reversal is still a long way off.

View OriginalReply0