2025-12-16 07:20:23

#加密生态动态追踪 Retail investors, can you still catch a breath this year?

Looking at the current market situation, there’s no such thing as a one-sided trend; it’s just institutions repeatedly manipulating the market. A wave of sell-offs, a wave of accumulation, the candlestick charts don’t seem to change much, but the holdings in accounts are shrinking. If any seasoned trader managed to make a double-sided profit in this ETH行情, they’d probably be free by now.

From a technical perspective, the logic isn’t complicated:

Once ETH breaks below 2900 and fails to recover, the next support zone is between 2716 and 2778. The real buying opportunity only comes after a strong correction, when retail traders’ stop-losses are triggered and liquidity has been swept out. The fake breakdown at 2892 this morning was actually a signal. Those who bought long this morning should exit at the 2970 to 2974 level—don’t expect any big picture.

The most deceptive thing in a bear market is this illusion—you think the drop will continue.

Back in the LUNA year, it was the same thinking, and the same with FTT. Even someone like SBF thought the bottom was just around the corner, but what happened? He got proven wrong. Large whales buying doesn’t mean the market has bottomed; no one is willing to take on the risk, and even with more money, positions still get liquidated. Cases like Three Arrows Capital and Lehman Brothers have long shown one thing—markets don’t care about feelings; they only care about risk management. Those who think they can just sit back and win because they’ve guessed the right direction often end up the worst.

ETH-2,47%

LUNA-2,9%

FTT-2,18%

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ForkTongue

· 2025-12-19 07:07

Retail investors? Ha, institutions have shaken out all the weak hands, how can they still catch their breath?

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CryptoCross-TalkClub

· 2025-12-19 03:52

Laughing to death, institutions keep manipulating the market just like I tell a comedy story by repeatedly opening the same joke, and retail investors still believe it. --- That wave of LUNA, I was in it too. I'm still holding losses now. If SBF can crash, why can't retail investors lie down and win? --- Forget it, this market makes my blood pressure soar. Better to go back and tell jokes, at least the audience won't cut me off. --- From 2970 to 2974, I should have run. It sounds simple, but in reality, I was already trapped at 3200, everyone. --- Risk management? My risk management is that once the account is wiped out, there's no more risk. --- So you're still waiting for the bottom now? I've already laid down, waiting for the next bull market comedy show.

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PoetryOnChain

· 2025-12-17 20:28

Damn, I got washed again. My stop-loss orders in hand were definitely wiped out again.

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LightningClicker

· 2025-12-16 07:50

Institutions accumulate shares while retail investors buy in, how many years has this trick been played, and some people still think they can catch the bottom When can retail investors breathe easier? They have to wait until institutions are full before they can. --- The people who ran at the 2970 level are definitely laughing now, and the greedy ones are still in there --- Honestly, looking at the stories of LUNA and FTT, who still dares to bet on the bottom? Risk management is the key --- This market is just repeatedly harvesting, when the K-line moves, the account shrinks, it's incredible --- Don't expect any grand strategy, if you need to run, just run; staying alive is the real victory --- Institutions repeatedly shake out the market, retail investors still think they can win by lying down, but this logic itself is flawed

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SchroedingersFrontrun

· 2025-12-16 07:50

Damn, another shakeout. Retail investors really have a tough life. --- Sell at 2970 to 2974, don’t be greedy, brothers. --- I thought the same during the LUNA crash, then my account was wiped out. --- SBF has already failed, and we still think about waiting for a free ride. Dream on. --- Fake breakdowns in the morning are really disgusting; stop-losses were all wiped out. --- Risk management sounds nice, but in reality, surviving is the most important. --- Always the bagholders, this game is just not fair.

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Blockwatcher9000

· 2025-12-16 07:50

Damn, been washed again, stop-loss triggered directly, this market is really unbelievable. --- SBF got caught in a trap, and I'm still thinking about buying the dip. How come I can't learn? --- I should have sold during that 2970 wave. Greed kills people. Now it’s all good. --- Whales absorbing funds, retail investors buying in. This game is unplayable. --- Risk management? In a bear market, no one believes in that; everyone just wants to gamble. --- That fake breakdown this morning was really the limit, many people cut their losses immediately. --- Seeing through it, institutions repeatedly manipulating the market is just for shaking out the weak, retail investors are always the bagholders. --- Is the bottom right in front of us? They said the same thing during the LUNA period. And now? --- If ETH truly drops to 2716, I’ll go all-in, anyway, there’s nothing left to lose. --- The market where people don’t dare to buy-in is the most terrifying; even whales buying won’t save it. --- Those claiming the bottom in a bear market are all scams; be careful not to get trapped for three to five years.

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ColdWalletAnxiety

· 2025-12-16 07:50

Institutions keep manipulating the market, and retail investors are the ones getting cut off. It hits too close to home.

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TokenTherapist

· 2025-12-16 07:48

Institutions repeatedly manipulate the market, and retail investors are just the chopped leeks. Buy early, but before the big picture unfolds, you have to run. If big players like SBF have already fallen, why do we think we can make a profit? I'll stay on the sidelines with this wave of ETH; risk management comes first. Rather than guessing the bottom, it's better to just stay alive.

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OnchainDetective

· 2025-12-16 07:47

The tricks that institutions have been playing for so many years, retail investors should have seen through them long ago. Basically, it's just manipulation, accumulation, and pump-and-dump cycles, repeating over and over. While our accounts are shrinking, they are eating the profits. If you ask me, don't pin hopes on some big bottom; if SBF can collapse, what are we? Risk management should always come first; greed will wipe everything out in an instant. This market is so surreal right now, whether 2900 breaks or holds, it feels like rolling dice in a casino. Instead of obsessing over technicals, it's better to first consider how much you can afford to lose.

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rugdoc.eth

· 2025-12-16 07:45

Another year has passed, still waiting for the bottom, haha. Retail investors' chance to catch their breath? Give me a break, the institutions' manipulation and shakeout tactics have been played out long ago. Breaking 2900 or not, I've become numb; mainly because my stop-losses have been wiped out countless times. Back when LUNA was hot, a bunch of people told me they had confidence, but what happened... now everyone’s silent. Instead of waiting for a grand pattern, it's better to learn how to run away. That’s the true art of surviving.

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