Recently, there have been many market rumors. Some analysts claim that after the Bank of Japan raised interest rates on the 19th, Bitcoin could face a significant 15% correction, and mainstream coins like Ethereum and BNB may also come under pressure. More aggressive views even predict that next year BTC will hit new lows, falling below several thousand dollars.

It sounds a bit scary. But are these predictions really reliable? Or are they just alarmist warnings in the market?

From a fundamental perspective, rate hikes do indeed push up risk-free yields, creating pressure on risk assets. That’s not a problem. But will altcoins really be cut in half by 40%? Will Bitcoin really fall to that level? Such absolute predictions often don’t hold up under scrutiny.

The market has always been a battle between emotion and logic. Pessimistic voices might actually be signals of a bottom, and seemingly rational analysis can sometimes be completely wrong. The key is to consider your own risk tolerance and trading strategy—whether you’re buying the dip or waiting on the sidelines, never let a single opinion dictate your judgment.

What do you think? Is this a real risk or just another hype?