2025-12-16 12:30:55

#大户持仓变化 Tomorrow night’s non-farm payroll data is coming — the scenario of a rise followed by a fall is very likely.

Looking at the forward-looking data, the overall employment figures remain quite resilient. In the short term, this kind of data is easily perceived by the market as "still acceptable," and positive sentiment will initially surge, pushing risk assets like $BTC and $ETH to rise rapidly. It sounds like good news, but there are hidden dangers.

The problem is: if wage growth remains high and employment remains strong, inflationary pressures cannot be eased. Then the expectation of rate cuts must change — directly overturning previous optimistic assumptions. After market sentiment recovers and re-pricing occurs, it can instead lead to a quick decline. Sensitive risk assets like $SOL are most likely to be hit hard.

The logic behind this kind of market movement is simple: sentiment leads, and the logic corrects afterward.

In plain terms, non-farm payrolls create volatility, not a trend. The pattern of initial rally followed by a sell-off will recur, and this is the rhythm to watch out for tonight. If you still hold positions, remember to set stop-losses and don’t let emotions dominate your decisions.

BTC-1,35%

ETH-2,54%

SOL-2,06%

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WhaleShadow

· 2025-12-18 07:47

Here we go again with this routine, the "rise first, then fall" act is really getting annoying. Every non-farm payroll report tricks me into entering the market like this.

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GateUser-cff9c776

· 2025-12-17 08:33

Here comes the same old trick of "rise first, then fall" again. The market is like a Schrödinger's bull market, writing the script before the non-farm payroll data is released—how ironic.

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ForkPrince

· 2025-12-16 12:58

The old trick of rising first and then falling again, playing like this every non-farm payroll report, I'm exhausted. --- SOL is probably going to be smashed through this time, everyone holding longs should be careful. --- Exactly, emotions soar first, accounts cry later, this is the non-farm payroll curse. --- Non-farm payrolls are just a harvesting machine, those who play the volatility die the fastest. --- Setting stop-losses is useless, a gap directly breaks through. --- This time it's the old routine of "eat the meat first, then vomit blood," brother. --- Break SOL? Why not just break me apart directly.

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MevWhisperer

· 2025-12-16 12:38

It's the same old trick of rising first and then falling. Non-farm payrolls are indeed an emotion harvesting machine. I bet five dollars that tonight SOL will be pressed to the ground and rubbed again.

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