#大户持仓动态 Everyone, I need to have a good talk with you about this Ethereum opportunity. The price range below 3000 is really rare, honestly, missing out would be a bit unfortunate.

Let's start with the technical analysis. Recently, on the 1-hour chart, ETH made a beautiful V-shaped rebound from yesterday’s 2870 level, now fluctuating around 2950. The MACD green bars are nearly disappearing, and the DIF line is about to cross the DEA line—this kind of signal is most common at the bottom, basically indicating that the bears are losing strength and the bulls are starting to gather momentum. The final stage of bottom consolidation usually follows this rhythm, and the trend reversal could happen sooner than you think.

On-chain data is even more interesting. For those who often say "active addresses are declining," they might be overlooking another phenomenon: in November, 3.24 million ETH flowed into long-term holding addresses, and in December, another 1.6 million entered. These addresses never sell actively, belonging to the steadfast holders. Currently, only 8.7% of ETH on exchanges is circulating, what does this number indicate? It shows that the actual tradable chips in the market are limited. Plus, Fusaka’s upgrade directly increased blob storage capacity by 8 times, and USDC has obtained the Federal Reserve’s payment system license. These fundamental positives stack up—why worry about short-term fluctuations?

Regarding the bottom, we need to have a psychological baseline. I believe the 2900 range is a solid support; if it really breaks, my analysis will need a major adjustment. In fact, the current trend looks more like institutions are testing patience—waiting for retail investors to panic sell, then capital will push the price towards 3200, or even higher.

Here’s a practical approach: gradually build long positions, with a stop-loss set at 2850 (the probability of hitting this price is actually quite low). The first target is around the previous high near 3170; once broken, there’s a logical basis for aiming at 3400. Hesitating now only leads to regret once the market moves. How next week’s trend unfolds, the market will give the answer.