#大户持仓动态 SOL tonight at the crossroads, the choice is coming soon

Good evening everyone! Recently, looking at SOL's performance, it’s quite interesting—the price has been oscillating between 127.6 and 127.9, with almost no breakthrough movements during the evening session. But this calm is often an illusion; underlying forces are accumulating. Experienced traders know well: the night before a big move, the atmosphere is usually like this.

Here, I’ll directly analyze the current situation (referencing the 15-minute chart at 20:00 on December 17). SOL is currently stuck in a classic "midline position"—short-term moving averages support from below, but long-term moving averages suppress from above. What does this extreme compression indicate? A direction is about to be chosen.

Three opportunities for the bulls:

1. The price can break through 128.04 with volume and stabilize. Once this move is completed, the upward space opens instantly, and light positions can follow.

2. The price stays above 127.28 and 127.33, then gradually raises the bottom. Short-term support is confirmed effective, and bulls are brewing strength—this is a positive sign.

3. The price retraces to around 127.3 and stops, with a long lower shadow on the candlestick. This is a classic "bottom-fishing" opportunity, with good cost performance, and can be tried for a low buy-in.

Three signals for the bears:

1. The price approaches 128.04 but cannot go higher, and volume doesn’t follow. This indicates real resistance above and is a clear sign of weakness. You can try a light short position in this area.

2. The price increases volume and breaks through the support bands of MA7 and MA25 (around 127.3), but then rebounds without strength to recover. The short-term structure has worsened; it’s a good opportunity to short, targeting below 126.5.

3. Any rebound lacks strength (very small volume), but during declines, there’s sudden heavy selling (volume spikes). This indicates capital fleeing and warrants caution.

SOL is now like a stretched bow. Break above 128.04 and stabilize, consider going long; break below 127.3 and fail to hold, consider shorting. The middle position? Just watch the show, no need to rush. The market is surging, and the next wave of trend will soon surface.