#数字资产市场洞察 Unemployment rate unexpectedly rose yesterday, a figure not seen in over four years. The market sensed the risk, and some funds began to hedge in advance.

The next two major tests are looming, which could trigger sharp volatility in BTC and the entire crypto market—

**Tomorrow night at 9:30 PM, CPI data release**
If the numbers exceed expectations? Bearish pressure hits. If below expectations? It might actually be a breathing space. In a 20/80 market, there is no third answer to this question.

**Friday’s Bank of Japan meeting**
There’s a 70% chance they will raise interest rates by 25 basis points, which the market has already priced in, so the impact is limited—this dip is just a full reflection of expectations. But if they really implement a 50 basis point hike(there’s a 30% chance) that BTC won’t hold the $82,000 level and will drop directly.

The closer the time, the greater the panic. With two major events overlapping, BTC could fall below $85,000, and market sentiment will be amplified infinitely. But on the other hand, if CPI data surprises positively and the central bank’s rate hike is settled, a rebound to $90,000 or even higher is not a dream.

In such highly volatile markets, the biggest fear is being driven by emotions—don’t panic sell at the bottom, and don’t chase highs to give away your position. The smart move is to hide your bullets and wait for the black swan event to truly arrive, which is the window for bottom fishing.

Still struggling to decide which coin to buy now? Still tossing and turning over missing the opportunity or being trapped? Stop fantasizing in your mind; the market will speak with data.