2025-12-17 13:21:14

#美联储降息 Yesterday, Ethereum's technical outlook looked quite good. I expected the range of 2960 to 2990, and I indeed positioned accordingly based on this idea. When the market dipped to around 2906, although it didn't fully reach the psychological bottom line, the overall trend still aligned with the forecast. There was no mistake in the direction judgment throughout, which is the feedback from the technical analysis. $ETH In this cycle, the market's expectations of Federal Reserve policies are also playing a role.

ETH-3,73%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

21 Likes

Reward
21
8
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

DecentralizeMe

· 2025-12-20 10:49

Technical analysis predictions are way off, this time the Federal Reserve's expectations are indeed pushing the market up.

View OriginalReply0

ForkThisDAO

· 2025-12-19 17:04

This move is indeed steady. It hasn't broken the psychological level at 2906 and has bounced back, indicating that the bulls still have strength. However, no one can predict what the Federal Reserve will do, so don't rely too much on technical analysis.

View OriginalReply0

StablecoinGuardian

· 2025-12-19 02:48

Predicting this kind of thing, after just looking at the chart twice, makes you think you're an analyst. I still can't trust myself.

View OriginalReply0

OffchainWinner

· 2025-12-17 13:48

2960-2990 this range was indeed quite accurate, but the Federal Reserve's stance suddenly changed, so be careful.

View OriginalReply0

BearMarketBuilder

· 2025-12-17 13:48

Hey, this move is really good. I also bought some at 2960, just waiting for the rebound.

View OriginalReply0

DaoGovernanceOfficer

· 2025-12-17 13:48

empirically speaking, this reads like survivorship bias wrapped in hindsight. you nailed the range? cool, but where's the data on your miss rate... the literature on technical analysis vs market microstructure is pretty damning tbh. fed policy *obviously* matters more than your 2960-2990 thesis, so maybe lead with that next time instead of the self-congratulatory charting angle?

Reply0

LiquidationAlert

· 2025-12-17 13:47

Damn, is this kind of "I was right all along" statement true? Just because 2906 didn't hit the psychological bottom, does that mean it's right? What about the bottom line?

View OriginalReply0

DegenDreamer

· 2025-12-17 13:41

Hey, I'm also watching the key level at 2960. The technicals are indeed strong, but I just wish I had bought more at 2906.

View OriginalReply0