The Bank of Japan's rate hike expectation is about to be realized tomorrow, so it makes sense to rise early tonight. However, I always feel that this matter isn't so simple — we might still need to go down a bit tonight. To be honest, it feels a bit like gambling, but the logic is this: once the rate hike actually happens tomorrow, it will definitely rise. The market likes this approach — digesting bad news in advance and rebounding when good news is confirmed. So the current question is, should we jump in now and follow the trend, or wait for the certainty of tomorrow's opportunity?
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rugpull_survivor
· 2025-12-20 13:50
Oh no, I've heard this theory too many times. Every time they say there's going to be a rebound, but...
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CexIsBad
· 2025-12-20 02:31
It's the same old story, bad news gets priced in first, and good news only causes a rebound. Market newcomers love this tune.
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MemeKingNFT
· 2025-12-17 16:51
Bro, I've heard this "preemptively digest bad news" logic too many times. It sounds pretty accurate every time, but the market just doesn't play by the rules. If the rate hike actually happens tomorrow, there's a good chance it will cause a sell-off.
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FomoAnxiety
· 2025-12-17 16:50
It's the same story again. The more certain something is, the easier it is to cause a sell-off. I just don't believe the market will cooperate that easily.
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NervousFingers
· 2025-12-17 16:50
Wait, does the logic work the other way around as well...
The Bank of Japan's rate hike expectation is about to be realized tomorrow, so it makes sense to rise early tonight. However, I always feel that this matter isn't so simple — we might still need to go down a bit tonight. To be honest, it feels a bit like gambling, but the logic is this: once the rate hike actually happens tomorrow, it will definitely rise. The market likes this approach — digesting bad news in advance and rebounding when good news is confirmed. So the current question is, should we jump in now and follow the trend, or wait for the certainty of tomorrow's opportunity?