#以太坊行情解读 Over the past two years in the crypto world, I’ve discovered a seemingly "dumb" logic that can consistently produce good results. Starting with small funds, I’ve grown to 2 million, and the core is to understand and execute the following points well. Sharing with everyone:

**Holding Coins Worth Protecting**
This is most evident during market crashes. If your coins only drop slightly while the overall market tanks, it indicates someone is supporting it and preventing rapid decline. Such coins usually have strong backing, and holding firmly often brings surprises.

**Moving Averages Are the Best Teachers for Beginners**
Don’t overcomplicate it. The 5-day moving average manages short-term trades—hold when the price is above, sell when it breaks; the 20-day manages mid-term—same logic, stop-loss when it breaks. Simple and straightforward, but 99% of traders can use it well. The biggest mistake is overthinking complex systems and failing to execute properly. A method that suits you and you can stick to is a good method.

**Making Reductions During Main Uptrends**
When the price enters a main uptrend and volume doesn’t significantly increase, it’s a signal to buy aggressively. Get on board decisively. Hold onto it afterward; if volume shrinks but the trend remains intact, you can continue holding. But if volume surges and the trendline is broken, immediately reduce your position and exit—don’t be greedy. I operate these kinds of coins this way.

**Short-term Trading Requires Discipline**
If there’s no movement after three days, exit—don’t wait. If you start losing, cut losses at 5%—no debate. The biggest risk in trading is procrastination; small losses turning into big ones often happen during this process.

**Oversold Signals Indicate Rebound**
If a coin drops more than 50% from its all-time high and continues downward for 8 days, it’s oversold. Rebounds are usually not far off; you can try small-scale, phased entries, but don’t buy everything at once.

**Leading Coins Are Stabilizers**
Leading coins rise the fastest and are the most resilient—this is no secret. Don’t be scared just because they’ve already gone up, and don’t chase after them when they fall. The real rhythm is: buy when strong, take profits at higher points.

**Follow the Trend > Guess the Bottom**
Many like to challenge the bottom, but it often ends badly. The key isn’t whether the price is cheap but whether the trend is favorable. The market always rewards those who follow the trend and punishes those who go against it.

**Making Money Isn’t About Making a Lot, But About Being Stable**
Doubling your money quickly is easy; the hard part is staying profitable through entire bull and bear cycles. True experts aim for consistent, stable returns, not one-time big wins. Regularly review your trades—was it luck or a systematic move? Only by developing your own trading rules can you survive in any market condition.

**Holding Cash Is Also a Strategy**
Don’t take trades you haven’t thought through—leave some cash on the side. The crypto market isn’t about who trades the most, but who has the highest success rate. Capital preservation always comes first; frequent trading only increases costs and psychological pressure. $ETH operates with this mindset.

**Final Words**
This approach isn’t complicated; it’s about doing the basics well, meticulously, and repeatedly. If you want to survive long-term in this market, the biggest risk is reckless action. For those with ideas, communicate more and exchange insights—only then can you seize the real opportunities that come with this wave.