2025-12-18 02:20:37

#数字资产市场洞察 12月18日行情思路

The U.S. President is scheduled to deliver an important speech at the official venue on Wednesday evening at 9 PM Eastern Time (Thursday morning at 10 AM Beijing Time), summarizing the first year of governance. Currently, public economic expectations are somewhat tense, and this speech is expected to emphasize policy achievements in border management, price control, and other areas. How the speech content is arranged is likely to influence market sentiment.

On the daily chart for BTC, $BTC has attempted to break through the 85,000 level three times but has failed to stabilize above it, currently in a low-range consolidation phase. The gains from yesterday’s strong open in the US stock market have been fully retraced, and the bullish momentum has clearly weakened. On the candlestick chart, the KDJ indicator has formed a death cross downward, and the MACD is also showing a death cross at high levels, indicating a weakening signal in the momentum indicators. Recently, market liquidity has noticeably tightened, lacking new funds to push prices higher.

Short-term trading strategy: Consider long positions if the price retraces to the 85,500-85,000 range, with targets around 87,000-87,700. If a successful breakout occurs, look for further resistance at 88,500-89,000-90,000. Whether tonight’s speech can rekindle market enthusiasm is a key variable in determining the subsequent trend.

BTC2,52%

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AirdropHunterXiao

· 2025-12-21 02:19

After hitting the wall three times, is it really going to rebound this time or continue to fall? --- You have to pay attention while speaking, it might be the turning point of the market. --- Why can't we get past the 85000 threshold? It's a bit frustrating. --- The tight funding situation is really torturing, let's see what the president says tonight. --- Are the long positions going to start dreaming again? Haha. --- 87000-87700 feels a bit precarious, we need to see if we can hold above 85500. --- This broken signal doesn't look good, better to wait for the speech to conclude before making any decisions. --- All indicators are showing a death cross, could it really be reaching the bottom? --- Lacking incremental funds means lacking stories, who wants to catch a falling knife?

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ContractCollector

· 2025-12-20 20:57

Three times and still can't break through, feels like this round is a bit stuck Predicting the market movement based on speeches is really unpredictable, gambling on speeches to rise and fall is truly exciting 85000 repeatedly dumping, with such tight liquidity, who dares to take the risk Now the bulls' setup is too uncomfortable, the risk at this level is too high Waiting for the speeches, anyway sideways is sideways, might as well take a break

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PhantomHunter

· 2025-12-18 17:06

Three attempts to dump below 85k didn't hold. If I can't rally even with this speech, I'll just give up and lie flat.

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LiquiditySurfer

· 2025-12-18 02:50

85000 hasn't stabilized yet, how many times has this broken position been messed with, the volatility here is a bit uncertain.

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GasFeeTherapist

· 2025-12-18 02:44

Three attempts to reach 85k but couldn't hold steady, is this really not supporting the market... --- Once the speech is released, whether the market crashes or rises depends entirely on the actors' skills --- The liquidity is tightening and still trying to break through, dreaming here... --- The operation idea of 85k-87k, if you can make money with it, then I admit defeat --- Waiting for the speech, but I bet five cents it will still plunge --- Death cross, death cross, every day a death cross, when will it recover --- If that guy at the White House says something wrong, we'll just drop back to 84k --- Entering a long position now is just betting on the speech, I don't have that courage

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