#以太坊行情解读 The Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations ignite the market, but don't get burned by the fire



Recently, the signals of rate cuts from Trump have stirred the entire financial circle. It sounds like policy benefits are coming, but we need to think clearly—Is this truly a policy adjustment or just public opinion hype?

The logic behind rate cuts is quite straightforward: money becomes cheaper, liquidity increases. In such an environment, non-traditional assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum often benefit—funds seek returns and flow into high-risk, high-reward sectors. It's like water rising, and the boat naturally floats upward.

But there's a problem: rapid rises are often followed by quick declines. Historically, many market reversals happen within a few weeks after good news appears. The reason is simple—smart capital has already positioned itself early, and once retail investors rush in, they start to exit to take profits.

My stance is: policy signals can be referenced, but don't follow blindly. In the current market environment, it's better to adopt a "reduce positions on rallies" strategy rather than blindly chase highs. Many people see the increase and want to go all-in, but end up getting trapped.

What should be done specifically? Three suggestions:

1. Keep paying attention to the Fed's subsequent actions. Words and actual policies can sometimes differ; data is the ultimate validation.

2. Wait until the market direction becomes clearer before making large investments. We are still in the information digestion phase, and volatility will be high.

3. Focus on coins with solid fundamentals, and stay away from projects that rely solely on hype. Value investing will never outperform short-term speculation, but long-term stability is entirely different.

The core of making money in the crypto world has never been speed, but cognition. While everyone is chasing news, they are often already late. The real opportunity belongs to those who think ahead and plan calmly. Instead of waiting for the perfect opportunity (which rarely exists), it's better to build your own trading framework and act logically.
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OPsychologyvip
· 2025-12-20 21:18
It's the same old story... Smart capital sets up the layout, gets retail investors to enter, and then runs away. How many times do I have to say it, yet some still rush in one after another. People who go all-in deserve to be trapped; there's nothing more to say. Expectations of interest rate cuts are just that—expectations. Listen to them, but don't take them as food.
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RektRecordervip
· 2025-12-18 06:12
Here we go again... Every time, they say don't chase high, but when it rises, it's still these people who end up regretting.
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BearMarketSurvivorvip
· 2025-12-18 03:19
Here comes the same old water-rising boat analogy, but the problem is that the boat will sink eventually. Taking Trump's words at face value is enough. All-in investors will probably cry again this time. Talking about reducing positions at highs is easy, but when it’s time to act, they get cold feet. Still, as I always say, when the big influencers call out, it's usually near the top. Let's wait and see; anyway, anxiety won't change the market trend.
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BearMarketBuyervip
· 2025-12-18 03:17
Here we go again with the "don't get burned" rhetoric... I'm tired of hearing it, but this time there's actually some substance. All-in is indeed foolish, but you need capital to cut positions when prices rise. Where do retail investors get that capital to play against the big players? It's true that smart capital has been early positioning, but the problem is how do we know when we're being "smart" and when we're just the last bagholders. I've been hearing this for three years while waiting for the market to clarify, and as a result, I've missed many gains... Sometimes, it's just worn away in the waiting. I agree that solid fundamentals are important, but who can tell now which fundamentals are truly solid and which are just hype? Cognition > speed, that's right, but how do we gain cognition? It's mostly through the lessons learned from throwing money around.
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NoStopLossNutvip
· 2025-12-18 03:06
It's the same "Don't All In" spiel again, heard it a thousand times haha, but honestly, someone always falls into the trap every time. Smart money moves quickly, retail investors are the bagholders, this pattern must be memorized forever.
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