The recent movement of $XAU has been dominated by two events. First, tonight at 21:30, the US inflation and retail sales data will be released. Once this data comes out, market sentiment is expected to fluctuate significantly, and gold prices are likely to push higher again. Whether it can break through the key zone of 4350-4380 is a point to watch; second, the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision on the morning of December 19. The market is generally betting that they may raise interest rates. If the rate hike is implemented, combined with the RMB exchange rate factors, precious metals are likely to face pressure. Simply put: if it doesn't break higher tonight, a correction is highly probable tomorrow.
From a technical perspective, gold has been repeatedly testing the 4350-4380 zone over the past four days. It has now reached a critical turning point. Resistance is at 4350-4380, and support must hold at 4260. Although there are some adjustments intraday, the price remains firmly above 4320, and previously even touched 4343.05. From the 1-hour chart, since the rebound from the low of 4271.52, the bullish structure remains intact. The pullback is just a natural breathing adjustment during the upward movement, and the trend is not broken.
Trading ideas: Gold is moving north within the 4332-4322 range, with initial targets at 4340-4350. If broken, continue to watch for 4355, 4365, and even 4380 levels.
Stay alert to these data releases and central bank actions; opportunities are right in front of you. Feel free to reach out anytime for discussion 🤝
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RugResistant
· 2025-12-20 18:44
Only after breaking 4350 is the real starting point; now it's all just testing the waters.
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DataOnlooker
· 2025-12-19 12:46
If the data tonight isn't strong enough, gold will really have to fall back tomorrow. This rally has a bit of a risk.
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SignatureAnxiety
· 2025-12-18 03:19
Ah, once this data is released, it might really explode. Will 4350 hold steady tonight? That's the key.
It's both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan; precious metals are under significant pressure this round.
It feels like tomorrow is set for a correction.
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PonziWhisperer
· 2025-12-18 03:11
Once the data is out, gold prices are set to soar, just worried about the Bank of Japan's deadly blow.
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ZKProofEnthusiast
· 2025-12-18 03:07
Kaneko has indeed been stuck there these days; only by breaking 4350 can we say something.
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GasFeeLover
· 2025-12-18 03:04
It's that 4350-4380 level again... I'm really annoyed with the constant attempts to break through. Can tonight's data give us some support?
#大户持仓动态 【Gold XAUUSD Technical Analysis】12.18 Trading Opportunity Summary
The recent movement of $XAU has been dominated by two events. First, tonight at 21:30, the US inflation and retail sales data will be released. Once this data comes out, market sentiment is expected to fluctuate significantly, and gold prices are likely to push higher again. Whether it can break through the key zone of 4350-4380 is a point to watch; second, the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision on the morning of December 19. The market is generally betting that they may raise interest rates. If the rate hike is implemented, combined with the RMB exchange rate factors, precious metals are likely to face pressure. Simply put: if it doesn't break higher tonight, a correction is highly probable tomorrow.
From a technical perspective, gold has been repeatedly testing the 4350-4380 zone over the past four days. It has now reached a critical turning point. Resistance is at 4350-4380, and support must hold at 4260. Although there are some adjustments intraday, the price remains firmly above 4320, and previously even touched 4343.05. From the 1-hour chart, since the rebound from the low of 4271.52, the bullish structure remains intact. The pullback is just a natural breathing adjustment during the upward movement, and the trend is not broken.
Trading ideas:
Gold is moving north within the 4332-4322 range, with initial targets at 4340-4350. If broken, continue to watch for 4355, 4365, and even 4380 levels.
Stay alert to these data releases and central bank actions; opportunities are right in front of you. Feel free to reach out anytime for discussion 🤝
$BTC $ETH