2025-12-18 05:20:25

#美国证券交易委员会推进数字资产监管框架创新 Market Observation | Bitcoin and Ethereum Daily Rebound Shorting Strategy Analysis

Looking at today's movement, Bitcoin on the daily chart shows a typical upward surge followed by a washout pattern. Yesterday, the price broke through the MA30 moving average quickly retreated, and in the short term, it has been firmly suppressed around 8.93. As long as it cannot effectively break through and stabilize above this key level, the subsequent market should be viewed with a sideways and weak outlook. The recent upward surge and washout last night cleared out some short-term leveraged positions. The next focus is on the 90,000 level—rebounding to this point and then entering short positions could be a more comfortable opportunity. The main intra-day strategy remains to short on rebounds, with support first at around 8.5.

Ethereum's logic is similar. The daily candle closed bearish, with short-term resistance still at the MA30 corresponding to the 3000 level. On the 4-hour chart, yesterday’s rebound high also points to the 3000 mark. If you want to short, you can try at the small resistance level of 2900 during a rebound, targeting 2800 and 2750. Support below is focused on the 2750/2700 range.

**Midday Trading Reference** (Updated at 13:00):

**$BTC** — Short near 8.8, add to short on rebound to 8.9. Targets are 8.65 and 8.5. If it breaks below 8.5, then switch to a broader view for a 1000-2000 point rebound opportunity.

**$ETH** — Short at 2880, add on rebound to 2930. Targets are 2800 and 2750. Once it drops to the 2750/2700 zone, switch to a long view for a rebound of about 100 points.

There are no absolute rules in trading, but sticking to this method has a relatively stable win rate. If you find the analysis helpful, please follow, bookmark, and like. Feel free to discuss and exchange in the comments; I will reply to each.

BTC0,39%

ETH-0,4%

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RatioHunter

· 2025-12-20 20:23

Another day of rebound and then crashing again, this routine is so familiar. The 8.93 level still hasn't been broken, bears are holding on fiercely. I'm a bit hesitant to try at 2900, let's wait for the rebound back to 3000. Only consider reversing position if it drops to 2700, rushing in is too risky and easy to get caught. This round of clearing leverage, retail investors are going to take a hit again. A stable win rate sounds good, but when it really matters, luck still plays a big role. Once 8.5 breaks, the market will change. ETH seems less resilient than BTC, is 2800 a strong support? The idea of a rebound smashing through is a common cliché, when will we see a real upward push? What’s the point of a 100-point rebound? This volatility offers no profit margin at all.

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SerumDegen

· 2025-12-20 08:47

ngl the liquidation cascade logic here is actually tight... but betting against 9k feels like watching whales set traps for retail again lol

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AirdropworkerZhang

· 2025-12-18 05:46

This approach looks okay, but I always feel that the 8.9 level is an easy breakthrough. It's just a rebound and then a crash again. If you're brave enough, let's see if you can hold the position this time. Open a short at 2880? Feels a bit early, but I'll try following. Last night's shakeout was really fierce, and leverage was blown up a lot. Can the support at 2750 really hold? I'm a bit hesitant. Why does it feel like Bitcoin is especially strong this time? Breaking through the resistance level is just a matter of time. ETH's pace is so slow, Bitcoin is still more interesting. Rebounding and then crashing easily gets you trapped; your method seems to depend on luck. Once it breaks through 8.5, there's no hope left, so it all depends on the rebound.

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ChainWatcher

· 2025-12-18 05:32

It's another rebound and then a crash. How long will this routine last? --- Can 8.9 really hold? Feels like it's about to break. --- Damn, staring at these levels every day, how many times do I have to turn my brain? --- Next time, can you just tell me where I can make money? Don't make it so complicated. --- The logic is clear, but my reaction speed can't keep up haha. --- That 3000 level has appeared again. Feels endless. --- Rebound to 90,000 and then short. How strong does mental resilience need to be? --- Every time I follow your lead, I almost get stopped out. Damn it. --- Let's see if 8.5 breaks. Talking about it now is pointless. --- No one can really say how long a set of methods can stay stable. Anyway, I haven't made any profit.

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GateUser-40edb63b

· 2025-12-18 05:31

Wow, every time there's a rebound, it's the same old trick to smash it. When will we really break through once and for all? --- The 8.93 level is holding strong. Feels like today will be a volatile day until nightfall. --- Waiting to add to the short position until 90,000. Still need to wait a bit longer. --- ETH just dropped back to 2880. What if the rebound can't reach 2930? --- Always say the win rate is stable, why do I keep getting shaken out? --- Is the support at 8.5 reliable? Feels like it might get smashed again. --- This logic has been played out so many times. When will we truly break through? --- The MA30 is still holding down, no short-term breakout likely. --- 2750 is the ultimate support, what else is below? --- Rebounds smashing this setup—are they playing it out too much? The market seems to be recognizing this move more and more.

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LightningSentry

· 2025-12-18 05:29

90,000 can really break through? I remain skeptical; in the short term, the bears are more comfortable. It's the same pattern of smashing after a rebound. Yesterday's move indeed cleared out quite a bit of leverage. I'm watching it again today. I tried opening a short at ETH 2900, just worried about a sudden reverse surge. Good risk management is essential. The key is whether we can hold 8.5 after this drop; if it breaks, the strategy definitely needs to change. The resistance levels are set here; it all depends on whether anyone will buy the dip during the rebound.

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