#以太坊行情解读 $BTC Today, "holding in this price range all day," the key is how to move in the evening.

Everyone, have you seen such a market? At around 3:15 PM, BTC was stuck at 86,791.62, with the highest and lowest of the day differing by less than 3 dollars. The candlestick chart was as flat as a ruler, and the market was eerily quiet.

Anyone who has traded for a few years knows: the quieter it looks on the surface, the more thorough the preparation underneath. This kind of range-bound consolidation is usually the night before a big move. Let's break down the possible scenarios and how to respond tonight.

**If it breaks upward:**

The first signal is that the trading volume picks up, and the price effectively breaks above the 86,800 integer level. This confirms the breakout, and you can try a very small position, with a stop loss below 86,650.

The second scenario: the price pulls back to around 86,650 or 86,580 but doesn't break through, with a long lower shadow on the candlestick. This indicates a rebound after being suppressed, making it a good buy point. The stop loss can be placed 100 to 150 dollars below the support level.

The third stage: after breaking out, the price no longer returns to the previous range (around 86,790), but instead starts building a new platform above 86,800. At this point, the trend can be confirmed, and holding a position is appropriate.

**If it breaks downward:**

First tactic: the price increases volume and falls through the dense area of MA7 and MA25 (86,570-86,580), with a particularly weak rebound. This indicates that the previous strong structure has been damaged. Follow with a small position, with a stop loss set above 86,700.

Second tactic: the price quickly surges upward, seeming to break out, but immediately "kills" back down, leaving a long upper shadow. This is a classic bull trap. Once confirmed, it’s a good opportunity to go short, with the stop loss just at the top of that upper shadow.

Third tactic: the price gradually declines with bearish momentum, but each rebound fails to reach 86,790 (the previous consolidation level), and volume remains very quiet. This signals that no one wants to take the other side, indicating weakness. When rebounds are weak, try small tests near resistance levels.

This is a typical "prelude to a trend reversal" pattern. 86,800 is the ceiling, and 86,570 is the floor. Before the direction is truly decided, only patience and waiting are effective. Market sentiment can change at any time, so be prepared for both sides; what’s meant to come will come.