2025-12-18 08:21:43

The influencers in the square shouting long and short every day, but if you think about it carefully, the underlying logic of trading is nothing more than this: buy on dips, reduce positions on rallies, and manage risks properly. It sounds simple, but when it comes to actual execution, most people are still prone to self-praise.

To put it plainly, whether going long or short, from a probability perspective, it's a fifty-fifty chance. Candlestick charts, various news factors, all ultimately boil down to one result: right or wrong. Technical analysis, fundamentals, and psychology are intertwined; no one can predict the market with 100% certainty. Liquidation events, we all might encounter them, no need to hide.

The moment you enter the crypto trading world, you’ve already stepped into a zero-sum game. Who is your opponent? Mainly those institutions and whales holding large amounts of chips. Once you recognize this, you should understand how heavy risk control is—stop-loss, position management, mental adjustment—these are the true moat.

Everyone in the square, we are all navigating this market through ups and downs. Mutual support and collective progress are the right way. The new year is coming, I wish everyone can find a trading rhythm that suits them, make steady profits, and live steadily.

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ruggedNotShrugged

· 2025-12-19 01:27

Sounds good, but most people are still trapped. That group of institutions doesn't play by the same rules as us; setting stop-loss is easy, but maintaining the right mindset is hard. 50/50? I think it's more like 30/70, they have the advantage three to our one. Risk control is important, but in execution, who isn't face-to-face with reality? Just listen, those who are truly making money have already shut up.

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StablecoinArbitrageur

· 2025-12-18 08:52

actually... if you're *really* thinking about this statistically, 50/50 odds assumes zero edge. but most retail don't even *calculate* their sharpe ratio lmao

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BearEatsAll

· 2025-12-18 08:38

It's not wrong to say that, but executing it is really too difficult. I've been proven wrong myself several times. --- The analogy of 55/45 is excellent; how can some big V influencers dare to shout nonsense every day? --- Risk control always comes first, no doubt about that, or it will blow up sooner or later. --- Zero-sum game is against the whales; it's already good enough if retail investors can survive. --- It all sounds right, but who can really keep a steady mindset at critical moments? --- Liquidation is nothing special; I've seen worse, just consider it as tuition fees. --- Buy the dip and sell the rally; easy to say, but a slight tremor and everything is gone. --- New year, new atmosphere, but the routines in the crypto circle are always the same, nothing new. --- Compared to calling signals, I trust my own stop-loss more, nothing else. --- This wave of articles hit the mark; it's just that too many people are deceiving themselves.

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CodeSmellHunter

· 2025-12-18 08:38

Well said, risk control is the key, don't be blinded by those shouting signals in the square.

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TokenDustCollector

· 2025-12-18 08:36

That's true, but there are only a few that can really do it... I often mess up myself. Institutions take the big piece, we get the leftovers. Recognizing this will prevent us from getting cut. This summary is really hitting home, especially that part about fifty-fifty. Poor risk control makes even the best analysis useless.

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TokenTherapist

· 2025-12-18 08:26

That's right, risk control is the real moat, and those who shout signals every day are fundamentally unreliable. Most people fail because of their mindset; they know to buy on dips and reduce positions on highs, but they just can't do it. In a 50-50 game, the winners are always the ones holding the most chips. Instead of listening to big V influencers, it's better to manage your own positions well. Getting liquidated isn't shameful; staying alive is what matters. Institutions vs. retail investors, this has always been the true nature of the game. Honestly, stop-loss is much harder than take-profit. This article hits the mark because no one truly believes they can control the risk.

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