Tonight at 9:30 PM, the US CPI data will be announced, and this wave of data is expected to be a "definitive verdict" for the crypto market. As an important indicator of inflation, the CPI trend directly influences the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rate cuts, which in turn will affect the short-term market trends of the entire crypto ecosystem.

The current market consensus forecast is 3.1%. If the actual figure deviates upward from expectations, the Fed's rate cut window will close, and crypto assets are likely to face a correction; conversely, if the data exceeds expectations, market hopes for rate cuts will intensify, which could serve as a strong boost for the crypto market.

However, Goldman Sachs analysts recently poured cold water on the market. They believe that the Fed's recent cycle of preemptive rate cuts may have already ended, and the conditions for future rate cuts will become more stringent. In other words, a single positive CPI report is not enough; the market needs to see more "precise balance" signals before reigniting expectations for rate cuts. For crypto investors, this is like walking a tightrope—testing mental resilience and execution.

Three iron rules for retail investors: First, keep your fingers off the trigger before the data is released—don't get itchy to bet on the direction; second, if you believe in Bitcoin's long-term prospects, hold your spot positions and don't let short-term volatility shake you out; third, when the market falls into panic selling, there's no need to follow the trend and dump assets—this is often the golden moment for long-term investors to scoop up quality assets. Ultimately, the best way to deal with uncertainty is to maintain trading discipline and control the pace, which is much more practical than relying on long-term gains from guessing the data direction.