How is the recent market sentiment? Speaking of which, today when the US CPI data was released, everyone was surprised — not only did it meet expectations, but it also significantly fell below the previous value. US stock futures immediately surged, and the overall market atmosphere shifted from cautious to optimistic in an instant.



There are a few more important events to handle in the coming days. Tomorrow, a rate hike by the Bank of Japan is virtually certain, with a market expectation probability of 99%, but this move has already been priced in. The real uncertainty may lie in the Governor’s speech — will he reveal the future direction of interest rates? However, this volatility is likely to be most noticeable on that day.

Then, we enter the Christmas cycle. During this period, there seem to be quite a few opportunities — no obvious negative news in the short term, and liquidity remains relatively stable. From BTC, ETH to SOL, mainstream cryptocurrencies are all moving at this pace. Honestly, I think the risk factor for this Christmas rally has already dropped to a very low level, with safety around 90%.

What’s your view? Do you think the market will pass the holiday smoothly, or do you have a premonition of some surprises? Let’s discuss your judgment.
BTC-2,55%
ETH-3,73%
SOL-3,14%
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 10
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
BearMarketSurvivorvip
· 2025-12-21 16:10
CPI is so strong, but I still don't quite believe it... History tells me that good news is often a bear trap. Christmas market safety at 90%? How did you come up with that number, it seems too optimistic. The remarks from the Bank of Japan are the key, if this guy says the wrong thing, the market could reverse in minutes. The recent rise in BTC seems a bit hollow, I feel like it needs a pullback to be solid. 90% safety 😂 I only believe in 50%, the rest are invisible knives. Why don't you say that the market fears the most is "no unfavourable information" when there's no bad news in the short term? No hype, no criticism, the CPI data is nice, but does the Fed really want to pivot? I have my doubts. Liquidity is stable... The Christmas cycle has always been a liquidity trap, don't be fooled by appearances. Is this time really different? I see it being similar to last year's market before Christmas.
View OriginalReply0
CompoundPersonalityvip
· 2025-12-21 15:24
Ngl, as soon as the CPI came out, it went straight to da moon. This time it really caught me off guard... The Bank of Japan should have already known the news, and it all depends on what the governor says. Is the safety of the Christmas cycle at 90%? I think it might need some discount, after all, black swans never play by the rules... --- I'm a bit confused by this wave of US stock futures rising; I was being cautious before, and now I'm suddenly optimistic? It feels a bit fast... But SOL here seems to be a bit rolled up, I feel like something is going to happen. --- Wait, is the Christmas market really stable at 90%? I always have this feeling of calm before the storm... BTC has indeed performed strongly this month. --- I didn't expect the CPI data to be this strong, but the Bank of Japan is really just repeating old stories... The key is whether there will be any tricky operations during the Christmas period. --- Isn't a 90% safety rate a bit too optimistic, my friend? History often teaches us otherwise... But it is true that liquidity is stable. --- It's broken, US stock futures went straight to da moon, this is the market's response to CPI... Waiting to see what the Bank of Japan governor will say that's amazing.
View OriginalReply0
JustHereForAirdropsvip
· 2025-12-20 13:47
Wait, 90% security? Are you joking or are you really that convinced... One good CPI data point and you're willing to draw such a big conclusion? I haven't seen liquidity stabilize during the Christmas cycle; it feels more like a tactic for funds to scoop up the bottom. The central bank governor's comments definitely need to be watched, but I still think there are variables—don't be too optimistic.
View OriginalReply0
GasFeeNightmarevip
· 2025-12-18 16:50
CPI this wave is indeed fierce, but 90% safety? Bro, how did you come up with that number? I always feel like a black swan might bite a chunk out of it. I think the Bank of Japan will probably send out some signals this time, the governor's words are full of implications. Christmas cycle is real, liquidity is stable, but can we trust SOL? This coin always loves to do some tricks. Wait, are you saying BTC, ETH, and SOL all benefit from this wave of gains? Okay, a bit ambitious. CPI is good news, but short-term excitement relies entirely on momentum. Don't get too carried away.
View OriginalReply0
MEVHunterNoLossvip
· 2025-12-18 16:50
90% safety? Buddy, that sounds suspicious. The more stable it seems, the more likely it is to cause a mess. CPI is really strong, which is comfortable, but don’t be fooled by the false bullish candles. Tomorrow, the Japanese Central Bank should have already figured it out. The real uncertainty is whether there will be a black swan around Christmas. Will BTC experience another "pre-holiday plunge"? I've seen this script too many times.
View OriginalReply0
nft_widowvip
· 2025-12-18 16:45
CPI good data comes out and then immediately buy? I scoff, I've seen many of these rebounds, don't be fooled into it Japan's central bank's 99% has long been overhyped, really depends on what the governor says 90% safety? Uh, sorry, I trust my own instincts more Christmas market just let it be, anyway I hold coins and sleep This wave of BTC is just a meal market, nothing special to watch I've seen through it long ago, just waiting for the chives to come and take the bait
View OriginalReply0
ColdWalletAnxietyvip
· 2025-12-18 16:44
Haha, this round of CPI definitely slapped the shorts in the face, but I'm still a bit worried that this might be a false breakout before dawn. The Japanese Central Bank's act has long been played out; what really matters is what happens next... Is the Christmas market 90% safe? I feel like this number is a bit too confident. They say it every time, but what’s the result? Risks are always there; it just depends on who steps on them.
View OriginalReply0
SilentObservervip
· 2025-12-18 16:42
90% confidence? How much good news do you need to hear before you can say that... Wait, is CPI really that strong? Felt like I was worried just a couple of days ago. The 99% probability from the Bank of Japan sounds like there's no suspense at all; at this point, you should be cautious of the governor causing trouble. Is the Christmas rally always this smooth every year? Feels like I heard a similar statement around this time last year. If liquidity is stable, there's no risk at all? I always feel like black swans love to appear during these "safe" times. How has BTC been performing these past couple of days? Is it keeping up with the CPI trend? But on the other hand, a lower-than-expected figure is definitely a good sign, at least better than the pessimistic atmosphere from a couple of days ago. That 90% figure, what model did you use to calculate it? I find it hard to believe.
View OriginalReply0
FortuneTeller42vip
· 2025-12-18 16:36
CPI this wave really exceeded expectations, but I still think it's best not to get too excited; history has shown us this is how it goes Safety level 90%? I've heard that too many times, and then... it still crashes The 99% thing with the Bank of Japan has been decided long ago; it just depends on how the governor spins it BTC has been feeling okay these days, but usually there are some surprises before Christmas, better to be cautious Liquidity stable? I feel like this is just the calm before the storm, what do you think
View OriginalReply0
HashBardvip
· 2025-12-18 16:36
nah the 90% safety thing feels like the market's telling a story where the climax got spoiled... CPI beat + BoJ priced in = classic narrative exhaustion if u ask me
Reply0
View More
  • Pin

Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)