Source: CryptoNewsNet
Original Title: US Inflation Surprise as Headline CPI Cools to 2.7% in November; Lifts Crypto Sentiment
Original Link: https://cryptonews.net/news/finance/32160873/
Global markets were hit with a violent liquidity whiplash today as conflicting central bank signals collided with a massive derivatives flush.
While a cooler-than-expected 2.7% US CPI print triggered a risk-on rally that liquidated $60 million in crypto shorts, traders remain on edge as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) prepares to hike rates to a 30-year high, potentially draining the very liquidity the US just promised to inject.
The Savior Print: 2.7% CPI Crushes Bears
The catalyst for the rally was an undeniably bullish US inflation report. November headline CPI rose just 2.7%, significantly missing the 3.1% forecast. Crucially, the Core CPI dropped to 2.6%, signaling that disinflation is accelerating.
However, the report came with a caveat: due to the recent US government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics admitted to using “imputed” (estimated) data for October, leaving some analysts skeptical of the signal’s purity.
The Whale Rescue
The market reaction was brutal for bears. Bitcoin and Ethereum ripped higher, triggering $60 million in short liquidations within 30 minutes.
An insider Bitcoin whale tracked by on-chain analysts added $35.5 million to his ETH long position, bringing his total ETH long holding to $578 million. Bleeding out on a $600 million ETH long and nearing his $2,132 liquidation price, the whale’s conviction in adding to the trade moments before the CPI print paid off as the surprise forced a massive squeeze.
Bank of England: The ‘Desperation’ Cut
Across the Atlantic, the Bank of England added to the liquidity injection, cutting interest rates by 0.25% to 3.75%, its sixth cut this cycle.
However, this was a rescue cut rather than a victory lap. With UK GDP shrinking 0.1% in October and the vote split narrowly at 5-4, Governor Andrew Bailey warned that future cuts would be a closer call, leaving the UK economy on fragile footing despite the pre-Christmas stimulus.
Bank of Japan: The Looming Threat
While the US and UK are easing, a massive liquidity threat looms in Asia. The Bank of Japan is widely expected to hike rates to 0.75% tomorrow, its highest level in 30 years. Polymarket odds for the hike sit at 98%.
A BoJ hike would increase the cost of borrowing Yen, potentially forcing a violent unwind of the Yen carry trade that has fueled speculative assets for years.
Historical data warns that previous BoJ hiking cycles have coincided with 20-30% drops in Bitcoin.
The market is now caught between the immediate euphoria of the US Fed Put and the structural danger of a Japanese liquidity drain.
Near-term price action now depends on follow-through. Traders will monitor Treasury yields, dollar direction, and updated Fed probabilities. However, year-end positioning may add volatility.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
US Inflation Surprise as Headline CPI Cools to 2.7% in November; Lifts Crypto Sentiment
Source: CryptoNewsNet Original Title: US Inflation Surprise as Headline CPI Cools to 2.7% in November; Lifts Crypto Sentiment Original Link: https://cryptonews.net/news/finance/32160873/ Global markets were hit with a violent liquidity whiplash today as conflicting central bank signals collided with a massive derivatives flush.
While a cooler-than-expected 2.7% US CPI print triggered a risk-on rally that liquidated $60 million in crypto shorts, traders remain on edge as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) prepares to hike rates to a 30-year high, potentially draining the very liquidity the US just promised to inject.
The Savior Print: 2.7% CPI Crushes Bears
The catalyst for the rally was an undeniably bullish US inflation report. November headline CPI rose just 2.7%, significantly missing the 3.1% forecast. Crucially, the Core CPI dropped to 2.6%, signaling that disinflation is accelerating.
However, the report came with a caveat: due to the recent US government shutdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics admitted to using “imputed” (estimated) data for October, leaving some analysts skeptical of the signal’s purity.
The Whale Rescue
The market reaction was brutal for bears. Bitcoin and Ethereum ripped higher, triggering $60 million in short liquidations within 30 minutes.
An insider Bitcoin whale tracked by on-chain analysts added $35.5 million to his ETH long position, bringing his total ETH long holding to $578 million. Bleeding out on a $600 million ETH long and nearing his $2,132 liquidation price, the whale’s conviction in adding to the trade moments before the CPI print paid off as the surprise forced a massive squeeze.
Bank of England: The ‘Desperation’ Cut
Across the Atlantic, the Bank of England added to the liquidity injection, cutting interest rates by 0.25% to 3.75%, its sixth cut this cycle.
However, this was a rescue cut rather than a victory lap. With UK GDP shrinking 0.1% in October and the vote split narrowly at 5-4, Governor Andrew Bailey warned that future cuts would be a closer call, leaving the UK economy on fragile footing despite the pre-Christmas stimulus.
Bank of Japan: The Looming Threat
While the US and UK are easing, a massive liquidity threat looms in Asia. The Bank of Japan is widely expected to hike rates to 0.75% tomorrow, its highest level in 30 years. Polymarket odds for the hike sit at 98%.
A BoJ hike would increase the cost of borrowing Yen, potentially forcing a violent unwind of the Yen carry trade that has fueled speculative assets for years.
Historical data warns that previous BoJ hiking cycles have coincided with 20-30% drops in Bitcoin.
The market is now caught between the immediate euphoria of the US Fed Put and the structural danger of a Japanese liquidity drain.
Near-term price action now depends on follow-through. Traders will monitor Treasury yields, dollar direction, and updated Fed probabilities. However, year-end positioning may add volatility.